NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	85		Excitement	2.3 [1212]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +8.2%
Detroit Pistons	111		Comeback	1.0 [1178]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): -8.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olden Polynice	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	4	40%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Billy Owens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	73%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Mark Hendrickson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	7	14%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Michael Stewart	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	11	35%	-0.03	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.02	0.08	5	100%	0.00	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	8	35%	-0.07	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.18	0.00	-0.09	12	41%	-0.03	5	-0.05	10	80%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	8	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	-0.06	14	61%	0.09	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	16	67%	0.07	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	70%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	9	22%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	9	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	3	70%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	30.1	15.6	28.4	1.5	27.4	127.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +39.2%

SAC -0.6%

SAC -3.0%

DET +12.8%

DET +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	15.6	87.6	114.4	102.5
season	15.2	15.9		98.5	102.8
opponent	15.9	15.3		101.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.1	16.3	11.4	14.1	14.2
DET	14.9	15.0	18.1	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Hendrickson	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-27	28	13.3	14.4	-1.06	15.8	15.5	0.35
Chris Robinson	31	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-23	20	13.8	14.3	-0.57	15.7	15.4	0.33
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	40	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-21	16	14.5	13.9	0.53	14.8	16.1	-1.33
Olden Polynice	35	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-20	14	14.3	14.1	0.23	15.5	15.5	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	46	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-20	14	14.6	13.7	0.89	14.8	16.1	-1.27
Otis Thorpe	36	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-15	4	13.7	14.4	-0.70	14.8	15.9	-1.08
Michael Stewart	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.13	-12	-14	2	13.5	14.7	-1.13	16.4	14.8	1.55
Billy Owens	47	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-10	-6	15.4	13.0	2.32	15.9	15.1	0.82
Terry Dehere	59	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	-6	-14	13.2	15.7	-2.50	16.0	14.7	1.30
Corliss Williamson	52	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.28	-25	-1	-24	13.9	14.5	-0.56	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Mitch Richmond	76	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.30	-27	1	-28	14.8	11.9	2.88	15.3	16.1	-0.79

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	62	64	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	4	18	16.1	14.5	1.67	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Grant Hill	63	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.38	28	-2	30	15.5	15.5	0.04	14.8	13.1	1.69
Jerome Williams	60	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.14	18	8	10	15.5	15.6	-0.11	14.1	14.3	-0.28
Joe Dumars	48	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	10	6	16.1	15.0	1.06	15.0	13.4	1.58
Bison Dele	47	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.29	21	5	16	15.6	15.5	0.09	14.6	13.8	0.80
Jerry Stackhouse	59	59	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.10	9	17	-8	14.9	16.6	-1.69	14.1	14.2	-0.12
Rick Mahorn	22	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	19	-12	13.8	16.0	-2.27	15.1	13.8	1.28
Don Reid	22	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	25	-24	17.9	14.8	3.02	12.8	14.6	-1.77
Malik Sealy	31	32	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.18	8	18	-10	14.2	16.2	-1.96	14.4	14.1	0.31
Eric Montross	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	30	-34	16.9	15.0	1.89	12.6	14.8	-2.18
Scot Pollard	26	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.14	5	21	-16	14.1	16.0	-1.93	14.1	14.2	-0.06
Charles O'Bannon	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	15.7	15.5	0.24	13.6	14.3	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, IND 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
CHA 91, MIA 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
VAN 88, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%