NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	91		Excitement	2.0 [1292]		MVP	Luol Deng (MIA): +20.3%
Miami Heat	123		Comeback	1.0 [1102]		LVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): -4.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	14	63%	0.08	3	-0.02	10	70%	-0.00
Kemba Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	13	61%	0.05	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.05	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Troy Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Gutierrez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	64%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	59%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.31	0.00	0.11	13	94%	0.20	1	-0.00	7	71%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	11	78%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	60%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	16	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	6	73%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	8	41%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	69%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	11	36%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	3	133%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Briante Weber	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.4	35.0	17.8	26.5	3.4	27.2	142.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +37.1%

CHA -2.9%

MIA +11.6%

MIA +3.2%

MIA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIA	NBA	CHA	MIA	NBA
this game	16.8	17.1	14.9	107.1	144.7	105.1
season	15.1	15.5		105.5	104.5
opponent	15.1	14.8		103.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.4	16.2	16.2	17.3	16.8
MIA	14.7	17.3	17.3	19.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jorge Gutierrez	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-31	30	13.0	17.1	-4.10	17.1	17.1	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-31	30	13.0	17.1	-4.10	17.1	17.1	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-31	30	13.0	17.1	-4.10	17.1	17.1	0.01
Spencer Hawes	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-31	30	13.0	17.1	-4.10	17.1	17.1	0.01
Troy Daniels	10	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-28	24	13.0	17.3	-4.27	16.6	17.2	-0.62
Frank Kaminsky	30	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-33	34	16.3	17.0	-0.77	17.5	16.9	0.53
Jeremy Lin	43	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-20	8	17.5	16.0	1.46	17.7	16.6	1.13
Cody Zeller	39	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.34	-20	-12	-8	16.7	16.8	-0.13	16.3	17.7	-1.41
Al Jefferson	39	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-21	10	17.5	16.1	1.38	17.8	16.5	1.37
Courtney Lee	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-19	6	16.8	16.6	0.22	17.1	17.2	-0.05
Marvin Williams	48	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.57	-32	0	-32	17.6	15.6	1.98	16.9	17.4	-0.49
Kemba Walker	58	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.49	-32	0	-32	16.9	16.4	0.52	16.4	18.6	-2.23
Nicolas Batum	71	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.49	-33	1	-34	17.4	13.5	3.91	17.5	15.4	2.09

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	58	57	0.48	0.01	0.47	-0.28	26	6	20	17.3	16.6	0.72	17.1	16.0	1.09
Dwyane Wade	47	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.43	28	4	24	16.8	17.6	-0.79	17.0	16.5	0.54
Goran Dragic	58	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	18	-4	16.9	17.6	-0.70	17.0	16.1	0.91
Hassan Whiteside	47	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	13	6	16.8	17.5	-0.74	17.0	16.5	0.48
Josh Richardson	60	58	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.33	22	10	12	18.0	15.0	3.00	17.3	15.7	1.55
Justise Winslow	47	47	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.28	18	14	4	17.0	17.3	-0.31	18.1	15.1	3.00
Joe Johnson	47	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.26	16	16	0	17.1	17.2	-0.12	15.7	18.3	-2.62
Amar'e Stoudemire	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.25	14	18	-4	18.0	16.7	1.37	18.1	16.1	2.06
Dorell Wright	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	31	-30	17.1	17.1	0.01	13.0	17.1	-4.10
Josh McRoberts	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	31	-30	17.1	17.1	0.01	13.0	17.1	-4.10
Briante Weber	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	28	-24	13.6	17.3	-3.74	14.2	16.9	-2.64
Udonis Haslem	2	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	34	-36	12.0	17.2	-5.24	9.3	17.0	-7.70
Gerald Green	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	33	-34	16.1	17.3	-1.15	11.9	17.4	-5.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 81, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
UTA 88, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
SAC 85, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%