NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	3.3 [1122]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +17.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	1.0 [1157]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (NYK): -9.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	16	47%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Beno Udrih	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.00	0.08	7	93%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	0.00	0.10	24	59%	0.07	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.01	0.01	12	79%	0.18	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	14	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	20	53%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	20	41%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	30.1	14.7	27.0	2.8	27.4	126.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +22.6%

POR +9.4%

POR +10.2%

POR +6.5%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.5	15.1	102.2	114.6	105.2
season	16.0	15.1		106.4	109.6
opponent	14.8	15.4		106.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.1	15.4	14.9	14.8	15.8
POR	13.8	18.9	17.0	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	45	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.37	11	-22	33	14.9	16.7	-1.79	16.8	16.3	0.53
Metta World Peace	16	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.03	-3	-8	5	16.1	15.8	0.30	17.1	16.4	0.71
Beno Udrih	57	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-10	9	15.6	16.2	-0.67	16.8	16.1	0.65
Kenyon Martin	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	15.8	15.8	-0.03	15.5	17.6	-2.12
Amar'e Stoudemire	46	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-4	-3	15.9	15.7	0.19	17.5	15.6	1.90
Pablo Prigioni	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-1	-9	16.2	15.6	0.67	16.1	16.8	-0.65
Carmelo Anthony	79	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	15.7	17.1	-1.44	16.4	17.6	-1.19
Iman Shumpert	44	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.19	-22	11	-33	16.7	14.9	1.79	16.1	16.9	-0.73
Andrea Bargnani	80	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	-2	-7	15.9	15.2	0.67	16.7	15.2	1.42

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-2	15	15.7	19.7	-3.99	15.7	16.3	-0.57
Damian Lillard	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-4	19	15.4	20.4	-5.04	15.8	15.8	-0.04
Nicolas Batum	73	74	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	9	-7	16.2	18.3	-2.16	15.5	17.6	-2.14
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	10	-9	16.6	16.4	0.21	15.7	16.1	-0.36
Robin Lopez	64	65	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	8	-5	16.8	15.8	0.97	15.9	15.7	0.15
Joel Freeland	24	23	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	5	1	15.6	16.9	-1.25	16.2	15.7	0.54
Thomas Robinson	21	20	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	3	5	16.4	16.6	-0.21	16.7	15.6	1.13
Dorell Wright	23	23	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	6	-1	18.8	15.7	3.08	16.0	15.7	0.30
Will Barton	12	12	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	5	1	19.7	16.1	3.61	16.3	15.7	0.59
Earl Watson	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	15	-19	20.4	15.4	5.04	15.8	15.8	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.82,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 75, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAC 80, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	96.5%
POR 95, OKC 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.4%