NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	80		Excitement	3.7 [1091]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +13.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	87		Comeback	1.0 [1314]		LVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): -12.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	8	78%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	57%	0.01	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	0.01	-0.04	12	36%	-0.02	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	20	45%	0.00	7	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.02	-0.06	20	61%	0.17	4	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	12	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.04
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	43%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.4	16.6	27.2	2.8	30.3	131.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +21.1%

LAL +3.4%

LAL +10.1%

LAL +14.2%

LAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	17.6	15.6	92.0	100.0	104.4
season	15.3	15.6		104.7	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.5	16.0	18.2	12.6	15.6
LAL	15.2	16.0	18.7	20.7	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	38	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-17	27	13.7	17.0	-3.27	18.5	16.8	1.68
Vitaly Potapenko	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-4	1	14.0	15.7	-1.73	11.6	18.2	-6.69
Francisco Garcia	25	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-6	5	18.2	14.5	3.66	16.0	18.2	-2.23
Kevin Martin	26	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	3	-13	16.7	15.1	1.63	16.7	17.9	-1.18
Bonzi Wells	69	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-11	15	15.1	17.4	-2.32	17.6	17.4	0.17
Brad Miller	67	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	15.5	15.7	-0.26	18.3	14.8	3.43
Mike Bibby	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	14.6	19.6	-5.02	17.8	16.4	1.49
Kenny Thomas	52	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	11	-29	17.3	12.9	4.36	17.3	17.9	-0.54
Metta World Peace	79	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	1	-9	15.6	15.1	0.47	17.8	15.1	2.67

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	74	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-6	19	17.7	16.8	0.92	15.9	13.9	1.96
Kobe Bryant	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-2	11	17.6	17.2	0.40	15.6	15.2	0.40
Lamar Odom	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	2	3	17.5	17.7	-0.21	15.6	14.6	1.01
Smush Parker	62	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	0	7	17.9	16.6	1.34	15.6	15.4	0.16
Brian Cook	26	28	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.10	14	-7	21	18.0	17.3	0.69	16.7	15.0	1.71
Luke Walton	56	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	8	-9	17.4	17.9	-0.50	14.9	16.7	-1.90
Sasha Vujacic	25	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	7	-7	16.6	17.9	-1.34	15.4	15.6	-0.16
Andrew Bynum	7	8	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	7	-7	13.4	17.9	-4.48	16.5	15.5	1.04
Jim Jackson	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	8	-9	15.1	17.8	-2.67	15.1	15.6	-0.47
Devean George	21	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.26	-11	18	-29	19.0	17.1	1.97	14.1	16.0	-1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.82,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CLE 98, ATL 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
POR 95, OKC 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%