NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	2.8 [1205]		MVP	Mike Scott (ATL): +15.3%
Atlanta Hawks	117		Comeback	1.0 [883]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -6.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	3	80%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	13	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	8	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	13	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.00	0.09	19	55%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	15	41%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.24	0.01	0.10	13	96%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	10	73%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	9	84%	0.08	3	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	12	71%	0.09	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	10	65%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.0	32.1	15.7	23.7	2.4	24.4	125.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +55.4%

CLE -5.1%

ATL +6.5%

CLE -7.5%

ATL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.6	15.1	101.0	119.4	105.2
season	15.2	14.8		102.8	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	12.2	15.7	13.0	14.0
ATL	15.4	15.0	13.7	18.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	-8	-3	14.5	13.9	0.58	16.4	15.4	1.00
Jarrett Jack	46	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-14	9	13.4	14.5	-1.04	15.2	15.9	-0.67
Anderson Varejao	51	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-9	-1	14.3	13.6	0.75	14.4	16.7	-2.27
Tristan Thompson	47	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-14	9	14.3	13.6	0.70	16.8	14.3	2.49
Matthew Dellavedova	29	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-5	-9	14.8	13.6	1.16	13.8	16.3	-2.45
Luol Deng	71	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-7	-5	14.1	13.7	0.34	15.0	17.2	-2.16
Kyrie Irving	75	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-5	-9	14.0	14.0	0.03	16.1	13.6	2.53
Spencer Hawes	80	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-7	-5	13.3	17.2	-3.88	14.9	18.2	-3.27
Dion Waiters	71	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-7	-5	14.1	13.7	0.34	16.8	12.0	4.89

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.17	22	-3	25	16.6	11.9	4.70	14.2	13.0	1.17
Elton Brand	56	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	6	7	15.2	16.0	-0.83	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Jeff Teague	73	73	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	8	3	15.2	16.7	-1.57	13.9	14.2	-0.30
DeMarre Carroll	74	74	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	8	3	15.0	17.2	-2.14	14.0	14.0	0.03
Paul Millsap	55	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	6	7	16.4	14.5	1.93	14.1	13.9	0.21
Louis Williams	46	44	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	14	-9	14.5	16.5	-1.98	13.7	14.2	-0.54
Mike Scott	43	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	13	-7	14.5	16.4	-1.93	13.9	14.1	-0.21
Pero Antic	34	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	11	-3	16.9	14.8	2.04	14.7	13.6	1.15
Dennis Schroder	24	23	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	11	-3	17.2	15.0	2.14	14.0	14.0	-0.03
Mike Muscala	8	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	21	-23	12.4	15.8	-3.46	10.6	14.2	-3.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 78, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHI 87, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHI 94, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%