NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	87		Excitement	2.7 [1228]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +10.9%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	1.0 [1099]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -9.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	48%	0.02	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	68%	0.05	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Tyrus Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.09	9	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	48%	-0.01	4	-0.06	5	60%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	7	11%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.00	-0.06	20	54%	0.13	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.00	0.07	11	88%	0.13	3	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	111%	0.08	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	16	67%	0.08	5	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	12%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ronald Murray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	0.01	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.3	3.6	37.0	20.4	28.4	3.7	39.2	164.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.2%

CHI -2.0%

DET +13.1%

CHI -3.1%

CHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	12.4	17.9	15.4	91.6	113.7	104.5
season	14.5	16.8		103.1	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.9		101.7	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.9	13.7	11.7	11.4	12.4
DET	16.5	19.0	18.8	17.4	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-17	13	10.5	12.6	-2.09	19.3	17.8	1.58
Malik Allen	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-17	13	10.5	12.6	-2.09	19.3	17.8	1.58
Thabo Sefolosha	34	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-17	13	11.0	13.2	-2.24	18.5	17.6	0.92
Michael Sweetney	8	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-15	9	10.5	12.6	-2.09	15.4	18.1	-2.67
Andres Nocioni	45	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-21	21	12.7	12.2	0.49	16.7	19.0	-2.28
Tyrus Thomas	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-12	3	11.3	13.4	-2.17	17.9	17.9	-0.03
Chris Duhon	41	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-16	11	13.3	11.8	1.51	18.9	17.2	1.76
P.J. Brown	15	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-8	-5	13.3	12.2	1.02	19.1	17.7	1.46
Ben Gordon	68	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-19	17	12.4	12.5	-0.15	17.9	17.9	-0.03
Ben Wallace	56	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-7	-7	13.5	10.9	2.61	18.3	17.4	0.93
Luol Deng	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	-6	-9	12.9	10.2	2.65	17.8	18.3	-0.49
Kirk Hinrich	69	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.32	-29	8	-37	12.3	12.7	-0.39	17.2	19.7	-2.46

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	78	78	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.37	32	-11	43	17.5	19.8	-2.34	12.5	11.9	0.64
Richard Hamilton	83	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	0	21	17.3	22.2	-4.97	12.4	12.5	-0.05
Tayshaun Prince	80	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	4	13	17.9	17.7	0.20	12.7	10.7	2.07
Rasheed Wallace	36	39	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.32	25	-4	29	16.2	18.9	-2.75	13.5	11.7	1.78
Chris Webber	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	13	-5	17.7	18.1	-0.39	13.9	10.7	3.26
Jason Maxiell	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.15	9	12	-3	19.2	17.3	1.91	10.0	13.6	-3.53
Antonio McDyess	47	45	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	26	-31	19.1	16.7	2.46	12.3	12.5	-0.23
Dale Davis	10	9	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	19	-17	18.3	17.9	0.44	10.9	12.6	-1.68
Carlos Delfino	34	34	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	21	-21	17.6	18.0	-0.40	11.3	13.0	-1.74
Ronald Murray	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	17	-13	19.0	17.9	1.14	6.2	12.7	-6.43
Lindsey Hunter	21	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.17	-8	29	-37	20.5	17.2	3.36	12.5	12.4	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, CHA 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
IND 90, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
HOU 86, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%