NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	4.0 [990]		MVP	Beno Udrih (SAC): +13.3%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	1.0 [1038]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -11.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Boone	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	19	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.02	19	52%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	22	41%	-0.08	2	-0.03	17	76%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.04	0.05	10	87%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	3	87%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	11	60%	0.06	1	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Jason Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	56%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	16	58%	0.09	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	5	42%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.0	28.0	15.0	28.3	2.4	39.3	143.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +66.8%

NJN -6.6%

NJN -3.7%

NJN -7.7%

SAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAC	NBA	NJN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	14.3	15.3	95.0	109.0	106.0
season	15.9	15.2		98.7	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.5	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.7	15.0	14.5	12.4	14.4
SAC	12.5	15.0	13.8	15.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	8	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-5	-3	11.1	14.7	-3.53	17.0	14.1	2.89
Josh Boone	45	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-10	7	14.6	14.2	0.44	14.3	14.3	0.03
Terrence Williams	33	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-9	5	15.3	13.9	1.42	15.0	13.9	1.12
Rafer Alston	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-2	-9	14.8	14.1	0.68	14.8	13.9	0.95
Devin Harris	81	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-14	15	13.7	16.9	-3.21	14.3	14.2	0.15
Sean Williams	28	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-2	-9	12.8	15.0	-2.15	14.7	14.1	0.55
Trenton Hassell	84	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-5	-3	14.4	14.1	0.38	14.0	15.6	-1.60
Brook Lopez	95	94	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-10	7	14.6	11.5	3.06	14.2	15.8	-1.65
Chris Douglas-Roberts	90	90	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	5	-23	14.8	10.8	3.99	13.8	19.0	-5.24

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	63	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-2	17	14.9	13.3	1.56	14.1	14.8	-0.62
Spencer Hawes	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-1	15	13.6	15.2	-1.53	15.3	13.2	2.07
Beno Udrih	66	69	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	6	1	14.9	13.1	1.76	14.6	13.8	0.78
Tyreke Evans	81	81	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	5	3	14.6	13.1	1.52	14.1	15.5	-1.40
Kenny Thomas	33	32	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	13	-13	15.5	13.7	1.75	13.7	14.7	-0.96
Sergio Rodriguez	32	33	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	1	11	14.7	14.1	0.55	13.3	14.9	-1.55
Jon Brockman	27	26	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	8	-3	15.3	13.9	1.34	16.5	13.6	2.86
Andres Nocioni	38	39	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	9	-5	12.4	15.4	-2.96	14.6	14.3	0.31
Jason Thompson	61	62	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	9	-5	13.9	14.8	-0.93	13.6	15.5	-1.89
Donte Greene	35	35	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	11	-9	12.7	15.2	-2.50	14.5	14.3	0.25
Sean May	6	7	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	19	-25	15.8	14.2	1.65	14.6	14.4	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.89,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,1	95.7%
UTA 88, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
POR 103, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%