inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 83 Excitement3.9 [1035] MVPJose Calderon (TOR): +8.0%
Toronto Raptors 92 Comeback1.0 [725] LVPAl Harrington (IND): -12.0%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Jackson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.12-0.000.071267%0.0500.00367%-0.01
Danny Granger-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.07-0.000.071164%0.052-0.05683%-0.01
Darrell Armstrong-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rawle Marshall-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011168%0.097-0.1300%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01337%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Jeff Foster-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal-0.070,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.011250%0.003-0.07683%0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.01-0.0568%-0.092-0.001100%0.00
Al Harrington-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.090.000.031534%-0.082-0.042100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.02-0.02959%0.081-0.00475%0.01
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.011150%0.0600.002100%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Anthony Parker0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.031158%0.021-0.022100%0.00
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.01-0.03837%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Jorge Garbajosa0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.020.03772%0.043-0.05450%-0.03
Chris Bosh0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.02-0.011840%0.013-0.05683%0.01
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.041132%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.626.817.628.41.835.0135.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +25.8%
TOR +4.6%
TOR +6.4%
TOR +12.6%
TOR +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDTORNBAINDTORNBA
this game15.615.915.491.2100.0104.5
season15.315.2101.3104.7
opponent15.415.3104.1103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND16.217.815.712.715.6
TOR13.215.813.721.615.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Granger6362-0.03-0.470.43-0.3912-213315.116.8-1.6915.416.8-1.35
Jamaal Tinsley5859-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-111315.615.7-0.1315.117.3-2.20
Rawle Marshall1313-0.12-0.380.250.05-6-3-315.715.60.0913.816.2-2.43
Jermaine O'Neal7173-0.13-0.370.25-0.399-182715.416.5-1.2016.115.11.02
Darrell Armstrong2021-0.20-0.290.09-0.12-3-6313.416.2-2.7819.014.94.01
Marquis Daniels1919-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-3-317.315.22.0814.416.2-1.81
Stephen Jackson6666-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.10-101-1116.114.41.6816.215.11.09
Al Harrington6669-0.41-0.09-0.310.00-145-1915.216.8-1.5815.417.2-1.81
Sarunas Jasikevicius4344-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.12-112-1315.315.9-0.5917.714.13.58
Jeff Foster3634-0.46-0.04-0.430.06-189-2717.714.23.5315.216.3-1.08

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon46460.53-0.030.560.1214-51917.414.33.1515.116.2-1.07
Joey Graham44420.490.010.49-0.0117-82515.815.9-0.1616.315.01.24
Andrea Bargnani43430.480.020.460.0116-72315.516.2-0.7015.715.60.07
Rasho Nesterovic35350.410.090.320.1210-11118.514.24.3315.016.0-1.05
Fred Jones70690.300.200.100.1554116.115.11.0115.316.7-1.47
Anthony Parker50490.130.37-0.230.0536-314.617.4-2.8016.514.51.98
Jorge Garbajosa59580.100.40-0.300.16-211-1314.119.1-5.0415.915.10.82
Chris Bosh57580.080.42-0.330.23-514-1916.015.70.3315.515.9-0.41
T.J. Ford5655-0.030.53-0.560.35-1322-3515.915.9-0.0015.415.9-0.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 89, CLE 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.0%
MIA 76, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.6%
NJN 79, SEA 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%