inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 79 Excitement3.4 [1139] MVPDanny Fortson (SEA): +6.7%
Seattle SuperSonics 92 Comeback1.0 [1243] LVPAlonzo Mourning (NJN): -12.8%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.01250%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Aaron Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Awvee Storey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Eric Williams-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.011354%-0.0000.001173%-0.02
Zoran Planinic-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.022100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Brian Scalabrine-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nenad Krstic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.01362%0.012-0.05250%-0.01
Rodney Buford-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.04937%0.012-0.0510%-0.00
Jason Collins-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00250%-0.032-0.03250%-0.02
Richard Jefferson-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.02-0.031944%-0.062-0.021090%0.04
Travis Best-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.021127%-0.082-0.0300%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.130,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.01-0.01744%-0.045-0.09450%-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.010.05787%0.081-0.02989%0.02
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.013100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jerome James0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.031256%0.064-0.051100%0.00
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Swift00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mateen Cleaves00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.041235%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.100.00-0.071035%-0.012-0.01367%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02430%-0.031-0.01250%-0.01
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02539%-0.0400.00862%-0.01
Ray Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.18-0.02-0.091940%-0.065-0.05989%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game589.21.030.415.0-691.01.833.3-20.4
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +17.6%
SEA +6.6%
SEA +4.8%
SEA +17.7%
SEA +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNSEANBANJNSEANBA
this game16.816.315.590.8105.7104.0
season16.016.599.2109.5
opponent15.615.6107.9101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN19.715.916.715.116.8
SEA15.318.416.814.916.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Awvee Storey56-0.02-0.480.46-0.227-202711.417.1-5.7116.216.3-0.17
Aaron Williams54-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-131311.417.1-5.7123.216.07.26
Jason Collins4445-0.09-0.410.33-0.090-131318.015.62.4217.015.61.45
Zoran Planinic1515-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-161916.916.70.1814.716.7-2.00
Alonzo Mourning4443-0.11-0.390.29-0.02-3-10717.116.50.5817.115.51.62
Eric Williams5757-0.13-0.370.240.16-10-3-717.116.20.8916.915.21.71
Jacque Vaughn98-0.18-0.320.14-0.04-5-8315.117.0-1.8611.516.8-5.31
Travis Best7069-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-4-517.414.43.0216.914.12.86
Nenad Krstic2525-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.24-3-10715.017.5-2.4416.116.4-0.34
Richard Jefferson7575-0.41-0.09-0.320.12-185-2316.916.20.7116.515.50.95
Rodney Buford4243-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.09-11-2-916.417.2-0.8214.917.7-2.84
Brian Scalabrine4445-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.00-163-1916.716.9-0.1615.317.4-2.14

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Daniels52530.450.050.40-0.1721-82915.317.9-2.5717.016.40.61
Ray Allen74740.430.070.37-0.1821-82916.316.5-0.1617.214.42.82
Danny Fortson42420.400.100.31-0.2723-103314.018.5-4.4917.516.11.34
Vladimir Radmanovic58580.340.160.190.1476115.817.4-1.5915.818.7-2.91
Luke Ridnour67660.260.240.010.1449-517.213.53.6616.517.8-1.29
Nick Collison21220.240.26-0.020.1249-516.116.4-0.2415.617.2-1.53
Rashard Lewis46470.190.31-0.130.0167-117.315.22.1817.915.52.33
Reggie Evans40400.110.39-0.270.08112-1118.514.53.9916.916.60.31
Jerome James19200.070.43-0.350.04112-1117.616.01.6119.016.12.95
Damien Wilkins650.000.50-0.500.26-922-3116.216.3-0.1711.417.1-5.71
Robert Swift650.000.50-0.500.26-922-3116.216.3-0.1711.417.1-5.71
Mateen Cleaves430.000.50-0.500.15-518-2310.216.6-6.3610.317.0-6.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 81, MEM 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.6%
UTA 88, GSW 1020.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
CHI 99, PHI 1210.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%