NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	99		Excitement	3.4 [1091]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +14.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	121		Comeback	1.0 [1131]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CHI): -10.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.17	0.00	0.10	11	91%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	12	41%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Joakim Noah	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	5	59%	0.04	3	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	13	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.08	11	78%	0.06	3	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00
Aaron Gray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	45%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Chris Duhon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Demetris Nichols	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	9	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	8	33%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.20	0.01	0.07	13	82%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.00	-0.04	15	54%	0.10	1	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	11	77%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	86%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	14	31%	-0.02	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	2.7	26.4	15.6	24.2	2.4	27.6	129.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.7%

CHI -4.6%

PHI +1.6%

PHI +2.7%

CHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.4	105.3	127.4	105.7
season	15.0	15.2		102.2	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.5		104.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.4	15.0	16.7	14.1	15.9
PHI	11.9	14.4	14.0	18.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-25	28	10.8	16.1	-5.33	23.0	14.1	8.93
Demetris Nichols	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-25	28	10.8	16.1	-5.33	23.0	14.1	8.93
Tyrus Thomas	31	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-20	18	14.2	16.7	-2.42	19.3	12.4	6.92
Aaron Gray	20	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-23	24	14.8	16.1	-1.27	16.8	14.0	2.85
Andres Nocioni	41	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-18	14	14.7	16.7	-2.03	14.7	14.6	0.11
Luol Deng	46	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-13	4	16.3	15.4	0.97	15.3	14.0	1.32
Drew Gooden	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	-9	-4	17.3	14.9	2.37	12.8	15.9	-3.11
Kirk Hinrich	62	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-11	0	16.1	15.4	0.72	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Larry Hughes	53	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-6	-10	16.4	15.1	1.29	12.9	16.7	-3.82
Thabo Sefolosha	54	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	-6	-10	15.4	16.4	-0.96	14.8	14.3	0.49
Ben Gordon	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	1	-24	15.9	15.7	0.26	14.6	14.6	0.01
Joakim Noah	52	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.20	-23	1	-24	17.1	14.4	2.70	11.5	18.6	-7.10

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	83	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.19	25	-3	28	14.0	19.2	-5.19	16.4	12.3	4.03
Andre Miller	77	76	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.19	22	0	22	13.5	19.6	-6.14	16.3	14.1	2.22
Samuel Dalembert	55	56	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.20	19	3	16	12.5	17.5	-4.95	16.9	14.3	2.53
Thaddeus Young	53	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	6	10	15.6	13.5	2.11	15.4	16.4	-0.91
Reggie Evans	53	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	10	2	12.7	17.1	-4.46	16.3	15.2	1.11
Lou Williams	44	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	7	8	16.8	12.8	3.99	14.9	16.6	-1.70
Rodney Carney	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	18	-14	16.7	13.6	3.08	15.0	16.3	-1.30
Willie Green	39	40	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	21	-20	12.6	16.1	-3.46	16.5	15.3	1.22
Jason Smith	25	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	24	-26	20.8	12.4	8.32	14.4	16.3	-1.93
Kevin Ollie	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	20.5	13.9	6.69	12.5	16.3	-3.74
Lou Amundson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	18.7	14.5	4.30	9.0	16.2	-7.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHX 95, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1	96.1%
HOU 113, PHX 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.0%