inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 95 Excitement5.2 [620] MVPJJ Redick (ORL): +18.8%
Orlando Magic 102 Comeback1.2 [710] LVPKemba Walker (CHA): -14.5%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gerald Henderson0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.03968%0.1000.007100%0.03
Tyrus Thomas0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.090.010.03472%0.0600.001090%0.00
Jamario Moon0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Derrick Brown0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.010.031162%0.041-0.024100%0.02
DJ White0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.00362%0.021-0.04250%-0.01
DeSagana Diop-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Matt Carroll-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00350%0.021-0.0400%0.00
D.J. Augustin-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.020.021759%0.074-0.095100%0.02
Byron Mullens-0.140,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.020.021142%-0.044-0.10450%-0.02
Kemba Walker-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.03-0.001118%-0.131-0.0200%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.180.020.021969%0.222-0.037100%0.03
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.030.011565%0.161-0.01786%0.02
Earl Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.00289%0.111-0.02580%0.01
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.03-0.011747%0.0700.002100%0.02
Ish Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00150%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Daniel Orton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.010.02562%0.012-0.0430%-0.05
Justin Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.021342%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01312%-0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.01-0.0260%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.430.516.329.92.027.3136.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +23.9%
ORL +3.1%
ORL +17.9%
ORL +6.6%
CHA -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAORLNBACHAORLNBA
this game16.015.215.6103.3109.7102.8
season16.316.294.1102.8
opponent15.815.0103.0108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA17.815.116.214.916.0
ORL14.116.213.916.415.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gerald Henderson7777-0.05-0.450.40-0.257-142115.418.7-3.2915.513.42.16
DeSagana Diop55-0.08-0.420.330.00-3-4117.015.91.0816.215.11.10
DJ White1414-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-3-117.915.62.2214.615.3-0.61
Derrick Brown5355-0.14-0.360.220.04-6-1-516.215.70.5415.115.3-0.26
Bismack Biyombo5860-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-6515.516.8-1.3415.215.00.25
Jamario Moon2018-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.02-81-917.515.61.9416.714.81.87
Matt Carroll1113-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.06-70-718.315.72.6113.315.5-2.15
Tyrus Thomas4243-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.404-111515.216.7-1.4916.314.22.12
Byron Mullens5148-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-114-1517.114.62.5613.517.0-3.48
Kemba Walker5860-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.380-7715.516.8-1.3415.414.60.81
D.J. Augustin7172-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.24-6-1-515.617.1-1.5115.015.9-0.90

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Redick70690.51-0.010.530.1911-41514.915.9-1.0016.215.40.78
Ryan Anderson82820.450.050.400.3052314.916.9-1.9815.916.4-0.47
Jason Richardson68660.340.160.170.1661514.915.9-1.0415.916.2-0.35
Jameer Nelson56570.260.240.010.0861514.815.7-0.9415.916.1-0.27
Chris Duhon37350.240.26-0.010.2116-515.714.80.9416.115.90.27
Glen Davis17180.220.28-0.06-0.1312-51712.915.7-2.7218.015.52.51
Earl Clark34330.200.30-0.110.1134-114.915.3-0.4916.115.90.22
Quentin Richardson45460.200.30-0.110.22-18-915.914.41.5015.916.0-0.09
Daniel Orton43420.120.38-0.260.26-512-1716.214.21.9915.016.8-1.76
Justin Harper1090.020.48-0.460.05-18-917.314.92.4016.315.90.39
Ish Smith33-0.040.54-0.590.01-29-1115.715.10.5214.316.0-1.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 108, POR 1140.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,195.5%
DET 88, OKC 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.5%
MIN 89, UTA 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.3%