NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	108		Excitement	5.8 [689]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +28.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	114		Comeback	1.0 [1230]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -15.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.15	-0.02	0.04	23	67%	0.11	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	13	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	21%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	31%	-0.07	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Peja Stojakovic	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.06	-0.06	0.03	13	48%	-0.09	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Chris Webber	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15	-0.05	-0.07	0.04	21	43%	-0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.20	0.08	0.00	17	79%	0.30	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	16	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	73%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	17	55%	0.05	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	28.8	15.6	22.8	1.8	41.4	135.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +76.9%

SAC -1.1%

SAC -0.9%

SAC -23.6%

SAC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.5	113.7	117.5	104.0
season	14.7	15.8		108.1	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.4	18.7	14.2	12.7	15.3
POR	14.3	15.6	14.6	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	21	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-8	10	18.5	14.4	4.07	14.3	14.8	-0.44
Peja Stojakovic	71	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-7	8	14.3	18.4	-4.11	14.3	15.9	-1.56
Cuttino Mobley	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-4	2	14.3	16.6	-2.32	13.2	16.7	-3.55
Maurice Evans	24	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-1	-4	17.9	14.4	3.49	16.5	14.1	2.41
Darius Songaila	36	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-5	4	17.6	13.9	3.76	16.0	14.0	2.02
Chris Webber	71	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	15.6	14.3	1.36	15.4	12.3	3.14
Brad Miller	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	2	-10	14.7	17.8	-3.05	14.4	15.7	-1.32
Matt Barnes	40	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	14.6	15.8	-1.18	14.3	15.0	-0.75
Mike Bibby	80	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	2	-10	14.8	17.9	-3.04	14.9	13.8	1.07

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	58	57	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-6	18	15.9	12.9	3.06	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	91	88	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	4	-2	14.7	15.3	-0.67	14.9	20.0	-5.07
Zach Randolph	65	64	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	6	-6	14.6	14.9	-0.31	15.6	14.6	1.03
Sebastian Telfair	21	21	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-4	14	15.9	14.4	1.54	18.4	14.4	4.01
Damon Stoudamire	82	81	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	6	-6	14.4	16.1	-1.69	14.9	17.6	-2.74
Theo Ratliff	48	48	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	-4	14	14.8	14.6	0.22	15.8	14.8	0.94
Ruben Patterson	74	72	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	3	0	14.1	16.7	-2.56	14.6	17.4	-2.75
Darius Miles	45	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.37	-7	13	-20	13.8	15.5	-1.64	15.4	15.2	0.19
Viktor Khryapa	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	6	-6	29.0	14.6	14.45	0.0	15.3	-15.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
MIA 105, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.96,1,1	94.9%
MIN 89, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%