NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	105		Excitement	5.7 [689]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +16.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	111		Comeback	1.2 [303]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): -8.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.02	0.08	22	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Joel Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	17	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	14	93%	0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.02	12	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	24	51%	-0.02	3	-0.04	5	40%	-0.06

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.15	0.05	0.04	15	63%	0.19	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	0.00	18	53%	0.20	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	4	112%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	19	49%	0.08	4	-0.07	3	33%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	27%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	32.1	16.8	30.2	2.7	40.2	151.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +50.0%

LAC +1.8%

LAC +4.1%

MIA -8.4%

LAC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAC	NBA	MIA	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.5	108.2	118.1	105.7
season	16.0	15.4		109.0	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.6		107.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.1	14.5	13.9	14.8	14.9
LAC	11.6	16.9	16.8	16.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	44	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-10	14	14.3	15.4	-1.13	15.4	15.3	0.10
Erick Dampier	2	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-4	2	20.0	14.7	5.25	12.5	15.4	-2.87
Mike Miller	7	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	1	-8	10.7	15.2	-4.46	10.8	15.6	-4.78
Juwan Howard	12	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-3	0	15.0	14.8	0.16	14.3	15.4	-1.17
Dwyane Wade	82	79	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.38	7	-13	20	14.9	14.6	0.30	15.8	12.7	3.14
Carlos Arroyo	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	2	-10	16.1	14.0	2.10	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Chris Bosh	78	76	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-10	14	15.2	13.4	1.78	15.7	13.6	2.10
Mario Chalmers	59	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-8	10	14.0	16.1	-2.10	15.9	14.4	1.49
LeBron James	82	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-3	0	14.4	17.6	-3.25	15.1	16.5	-1.38
Joel Anthony	45	45	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	5	-16	16.2	13.7	2.51	16.7	14.0	2.65
James Jones	34	34	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	7	-20	14.7	15.0	-0.28	13.1	16.5	-3.39

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	78	80	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-5	16	14.6	18.7	-4.15	14.7	15.4	-0.60
Eric Gordon	81	83	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-2	10	15.3	15.4	-0.09	15.1	13.4	1.67
Blake Griffin	85	89	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	2	2	15.0	18.1	-3.10	14.8	15.4	-0.57
Eric Bledsoe	31	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	-2	10	15.6	15.1	0.50	15.6	14.5	1.10
DeAndre Jordan	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	8	-10	14.7	16.0	-1.27	15.6	14.1	1.45
Ike Diogu	35	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	4	-2	17.3	14.1	3.15	15.1	14.7	0.40
Randy Foye	17	19	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	-1	8	12.9	15.8	-2.96	12.8	15.4	-2.57
Jarron Collins	4	4	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	4	-2	21.0	15.1	5.94	14.7	14.9	-0.11
Baron Davis	66	68	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.30	-9	15	-24	15.6	14.7	0.85	14.4	15.9	-1.48
Al-Farouq Aminu	25	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	7	-8	16.6	14.8	1.81	14.7	14.9	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 108, POR 114	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1	94.9%
CHA 95, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
MIA 95, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.76,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.2%