NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	88		Excitement	4.6 [895]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (OKC): +20.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Comeback	1.2 [552]		LVP	Marcus Morris (DET): -17.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	70%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	18	51%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Darrun Hilliard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	11	58%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	13	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	15	31%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.08	0.05	12	81%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	10	69%	0.14	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	9	70%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	63%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-0.02	22	37%	-0.08	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	30.9	13.6	25.6	2.4	24.2	123.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +45.5%

OKC +0.8%

OKC +8.7%

DET -5.0%

OKC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	OKC	NBA	DET	OKC	NBA
this game	16.9	14.9	14.8	97.8	116.5	107.7
season	15.0	14.0		105.0	107.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.7	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.3	16.7	18.5	16.3	16.9
OKC	14.3	14.0	15.0	16.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	4	4	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-21	24	15.0	17.0	-2.00	22.0	14.6	7.40
Aron Baynes	23	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-22	26	14.4	17.8	-3.38	16.5	14.4	2.14
Beno Udrih	35	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-18	18	15.1	18.0	-2.89	15.2	14.7	0.50
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	66	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.13	-13	-5	-8	17.2	16.1	1.13	13.8	17.7	-3.82
Tobias Harris	74	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-6	-6	17.1	16.1	1.03	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Darrun Hilliard	20	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-10	2	16.3	17.1	-0.79	16.9	14.3	2.56
Jon Leuer	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-12	6	15.9	17.8	-1.89	15.5	14.4	1.12
Ish Smith	55	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	0	-18	18.0	15.1	2.89	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Marcus Morris	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	0	-18	17.4	15.8	1.55	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Andre Drummond	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.23	-22	4	-26	17.8	14.4	3.38	14.4	16.5	-2.14

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	42	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	-1	20	14.5	15.2	-0.70	19.2	14.9	4.31
Andre Roberson	56	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	6	6	14.0	16.4	-2.40	17.9	15.2	2.63
Jerami Grant	48	48	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	3	12	16.0	13.7	2.32	15.9	18.0	-2.13
Enes Kanter	33	32	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	10	-2	16.0	14.3	1.69	16.7	17.0	-0.25
Russell Westbrook	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	4	10	14.0	18.3	-4.29	17.3	15.6	1.69
Anthony Morrow	51	47	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	6	6	16.0	13.5	2.54	16.3	17.6	-1.28
Victor Oladipo	62	63	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	8	2	15.1	14.4	0.70	17.0	16.7	0.35
Steven Adams	57	57	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.17	10	8	2	14.3	16.0	-1.77	17.0	16.7	0.34
Semaj Christon	7	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	15	-12	15.6	14.9	0.70	12.4	17.3	-4.86
Alex Abrines	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	17.0	14.9	2.10	15.0	16.9	-1.93
Joffrey Lauvergne	26	24	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.15	-13	31	-44	15.1	14.9	0.22	13.7	18.1	-4.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 81, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.3%
MIN 95, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
ORL 67, SEA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%