NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	5.0 [817]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (MIN): +17.1%
Washington Wizards	109		Comeback	1.2 [1260]		LVP	Zach LaVine (MIN): -12.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	19	58%	0.20	1	-0.03	12	42%	-0.08
Gorgui Dieng	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Jeff Adrien	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	57%	0.00	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Glenn Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Bennett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	46%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	17	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	9	40%	-0.03	4	-0.09	2	50%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.05	0.09	15	72%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	7	58%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	17	58%	0.16	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	12	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	27.5	14.8	26.1	2.5	30.6	128.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +41.1%

WAS +5.9%

MIN -1.9%

WAS +3.2%

WAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	WAS	NBA	MIN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.1	101.1	116.0	104.2
season	15.0	15.1		101.2	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		101.7	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.9	14.0	14.9	14.2	15.2
WAS	13.4	16.0	17.2	15.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	8.9	15.7	-6.89	15.4	15.4	0.03
Robbie Hummel	12	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-17	20	13.6	15.5	-1.89	15.8	15.3	0.51
Anthony Bennett	13	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-13	12	15.4	15.2	0.17	16.5	15.3	1.19
Zach LaVine	67	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-8	2	15.3	15.1	0.22	14.9	16.6	-1.67
Gorgui Dieng	69	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	-3	-8	16.5	11.8	4.62	15.5	15.1	0.36
Jeff Adrien	24	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-11	8	12.0	16.3	-4.34	15.1	15.5	-0.36
Corey Brewer	57	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-3	-8	17.1	12.4	4.71	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Mo Williams	28	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	14.8	15.4	-0.59	16.6	14.9	1.67
Shabazz Muhammad	55	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-7	0	14.1	16.9	-2.80	15.8	14.8	0.96
Andrew Wiggins	69	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.04	-14	0	-14	15.3	15.1	0.16	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Thaddeus Young	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	2	-18	15.5	14.5	0.97	15.2	16.1	-0.97

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.10	20	-6	26	15.1	16.6	-1.52	16.1	12.2	3.85
Bradley Beal	73	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.10	20	-6	26	15.2	16.0	-0.77	16.0	12.7	3.27
Otto Porter	46	45	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	5	4	14.2	16.6	-2.45	15.7	14.8	0.96
Kevin Seraphin	32	32	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	12	-10	15.9	15.2	0.71	14.7	15.5	-0.73
Nene	39	42	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	8	-2	15.8	15.1	0.67	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Marcin Gortat	55	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	-2	18	15.5	15.3	0.25	15.8	14.5	1.23
Rasual Butler	54	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	13	-12	16.3	14.2	2.05	14.1	16.8	-2.67
Kris Humphries	54	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	6	2	15.1	15.8	-0.78	15.9	14.3	1.63
Garrett Temple	21	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	20	-26	16.0	15.2	0.77	12.7	16.0	-3.27
Andre Miller	14	15	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	16	-18	17.9	15.0	2.88	13.3	15.6	-2.34
Drew Gooden	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	11.5	15.5	-3.99	6.0	15.3	-9.33
DeJuan Blair	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	13.7	15.5	-1.86	9.0	15.6	-6.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	95.2%
BOS 93, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DET 88, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%