NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	5.3 [792]		MVP	Othella Harrington (CHI): +11.4%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	1.0 [1310]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): -13.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	17	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	70%	0.09	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Eddie Gill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	28	52%	-0.02	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	41%	-0.05	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.03	11	58%	0.12	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	11	77%	0.10	1	-0.03	13	69%	-0.03
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	1	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.04	-0.05	15	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	14	93%	0.08
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	27%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	9	30%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.0	30.0	15.7	22.1	1.7	42.0	141.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +10.3%

CHI +17.8%

CHI +23.0%

IND -5.0%

CHI +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	13.7	15.5	98.0	102.0	104.0
season	16.8	15.1		101.9	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		98.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.8	15.9	16.2	15.0	15.7
CHI	13.0	14.1	14.4	13.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	42	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-11	18	15.7	15.7	0.02	13.7	13.6	0.08
Reggie Miller	27	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	1	-6	15.3	15.9	-0.56	15.5	13.0	2.48
Jeff Foster	25	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-6	8	13.7	16.4	-2.72	14.6	13.4	1.20
Eddie Gill	23	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	0	-4	17.6	15.1	2.43	12.1	14.1	-1.96
Dale Davis	56	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	2	-8	16.1	15.2	0.86	14.2	13.0	1.20
James Jones	19	20	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	3	-10	17.1	15.4	1.67	12.5	14.0	-1.42
Stephen Jackson	87	86	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-6	8	15.3	19.0	-3.71	13.8	13.0	0.78
Anthony Johnson	75	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-3	2	15.1	17.6	-2.43	14.1	12.1	1.96
Fred Jones	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-6	8	16.0	15.1	0.96	13.1	14.7	-1.51
Austin Croshere	73	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	6	-16	16.1	14.5	1.59	12.9	15.8	-2.84

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	56	59	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-4	12	13.2	14.3	-1.05	16.7	14.2	2.57
Luol Deng	52	51	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.40	1	3	-2	12.9	14.6	-1.70	15.8	15.6	0.25
Jannero Pargo	51	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	-2	8	11.8	15.7	-3.84	15.8	15.6	0.29
Tyson Chandler	44	45	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	4	-4	13.6	13.7	-0.09	17.4	14.3	3.05
Othella Harrington	36	34	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	6	-8	14.9	13.0	1.86	16.7	15.2	1.58
Eddy Curry	58	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	-2	8	13.8	13.5	0.27	15.8	15.5	0.29
Antonio Davis	54	53	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	0	4	13.7	13.6	0.09	14.3	17.4	-3.05
Chris Duhon	51	50	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.29	-6	10	-16	15.1	12.2	2.91	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Adrian Griffin	11	11	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	3	-2	15.3	13.5	1.79	18.6	15.3	3.30
Andres Nocioni	39	40	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	2	0	13.1	14.1	-1.05	13.7	17.1	-3.39
Eric Piatkowski	38	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	4	-4	14.9	12.9	2.06	14.8	16.2	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NYK 92, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
PHX 78, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	94.7%