inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 81 Excitement4.5 [894] MVPAustin Croshere (IND): +5.9%
Indiana Pacers 90 Comeback1.1 [896] LVPBaron Davis (CHH): -26.8%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryce Drew0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01275%0.0100.0000%0.00
Matt Bullard-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
David Wesley-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.001949%0.012-0.03367%-0.00
George Lynch-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.040,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.001050%-0.012-0.034100%0.02
Stacey Augmon-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.021059%-0.022-0.041275%0.00
Lee Nailon-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.011437%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
P.J. Brown-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.01-0.02619%-0.092-0.04475%-0.00
Baron Davis-0.270,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27-0.19-0.050.031824%-0.232-0.0420%-0.02

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.05-0.01470%0.102-0.042100%0.01
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.01-0.031761%0.094-0.064100%0.02
Jonathan Bender0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.000.02974%0.072-0.04580%0.01
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.01450%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00-0.011069%0.094-0.086100%0.03
Carlos Rogers00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.01-0.01950%0.023-0.06475%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.021032%-0.051-0.002100%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.12-0.03-0.05420%-0.043-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.831.316.326.62.428.4129.7
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +69.8%
IND +7.2%
CHH -11.6%
CHH -17.5%
IND +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHINDNBACHHINDNBA
this game16.015.315.688.097.8102.3
season15.915.3102.2101.6
opponent15.415.6100.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH16.514.817.315.516.0
IND12.815.816.216.515.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bullard1312-0.01-0.490.48-0.165-141910.616.9-6.2716.515.11.37
Elden Campbell4546-0.12-0.380.27-0.120-9917.015.01.9615.615.00.61
David Wesley7979-0.21-0.290.07-0.241-101115.916.3-0.3615.812.23.67
Stacey Augmon2425-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-6-3-317.315.51.7515.615.20.46
George Lynch1514-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.06-7-2-515.716.1-0.3212.015.9-3.90
Lee Nailon6867-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.18-3-6315.517.3-1.7515.215.6-0.46
P.J. Brown6163-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-112-1317.513.04.4815.614.70.90
Bryce Drew2524-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.09-8-1-717.015.61.3715.515.20.32
Jamaal Magloire5049-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.19-5-4-114.717.5-2.7615.315.30.00
Baron Davis8081-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.14-112-1315.717.7-2.0114.719.5-4.82

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Rose78790.430.070.360.2081715.315.30.0216.115.20.99
Austin Croshere37360.400.100.290.0412-31515.415.30.1217.615.02.56
Jermaine O'Neal78770.370.130.240.1963315.315.10.1915.518.6-3.11
Jeff Foster45430.330.170.170.2536-317.013.73.2315.816.2-0.39
Jamaal Tinsley51510.250.25-0.00-0.0510-11113.817.2-3.3715.916.1-0.13
Travis Best39390.240.26-0.030.2118-716.214.71.5216.615.51.07
Reggie Miller60610.200.30-0.100.1427-515.015.9-0.8715.317.3-1.99
Carlos Rogers11110.160.34-0.180.0154115.115.3-0.2421.515.36.20
Jonathan Bender61630.130.37-0.240.19-211-1315.015.8-0.8115.118.0-2.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 88, OKC 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.3%
CHI 92, IND 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.84,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%
UTA 84, PHX 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%