inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 92 Excitement5.1 [817] MVPCJ Miles (IND): +11.0%
Indiana Pacers 104 Comeback1.3 [802] LVPPau Gasol (CHI): -15.4%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.12-0.000.021469%0.142-0.04887%0.01
Kirk Hinrich0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.01769%0.071-0.022100%0.02
Bobby Portis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cristiano Felicio0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Snell-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01743%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.011062%0.044-0.066100%0.03
E'Twaun Moore-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.01744%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Taj Gibson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00540%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Doug McDermott-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.0020%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Derrick Rose-0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.130.000.021631%-0.093-0.0600%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.150,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.04-0.011626%-0.121-0.03250%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.11-0.00-0.011264%0.1100.001100%0.00
Paul George0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.060.042460%0.225-0.127100%0.04
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.001060%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Joe Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.011344%-0.0100.00667%-0.01
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.03650%0.053-0.06475%-0.00
Solomon Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.010.000.05858%-0.002-0.041070%-0.00
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00835%-0.031-0.0210%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.11.725.115.730.11.532.3128.6
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +41.7%
IND +3.1%
IND +4.7%
IND +4.2%
CHI -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIINDNBACHIINDNBA
this game14.913.214.990.2101.0105.1
season14.814.6103.7103.2
opponent14.914.9101.6105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.216.114.015.514.9
IND13.515.212.711.813.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Portis45-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-151811.215.0-3.7714.413.21.23
Cristiano Felicio45-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-151811.215.0-3.7714.413.21.23
Nikola Mirotic6464-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-8414.615.3-0.6213.313.20.09
Kirk Hinrich4445-0.10-0.400.30-0.224-162015.114.70.3413.513.00.45
Doug McDermott1212-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-7215.314.80.5214.713.01.72
E'Twaun Moore5858-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-10814.815.0-0.1813.213.20.02
Pau Gasol5958-0.23-0.270.030.03-9-3-615.314.31.0313.013.5-0.49
Joakim Noah3940-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-6-6014.615.0-0.4613.413.10.27
Tony Snell3436-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.01-9-3-613.815.4-1.5713.713.00.67
Jimmy Butler8686-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.10-8-4-415.014.20.8112.815.5-2.68
Taj Gibson3839-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.17-8-4-415.314.60.6213.213.3-0.09
Derrick Rose6867-0.49-0.01-0.480.07-197-2615.314.01.3113.013.6-0.58

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
George Hill69690.53-0.030.56-0.2326-144013.013.7-0.7115.214.30.89
Ian Mahinmi57570.470.030.45-0.1722-103212.913.6-0.6815.314.40.93
Paul George84830.390.110.270.0013-11413.014.3-1.2614.815.2-0.42
Rodney Stuckey58580.330.170.170.1957-213.313.20.0615.713.81.93
Solomon Hill27240.330.170.150.0984411.613.8-2.1716.014.51.42
Monta Ellis66660.230.27-0.040.0666013.213.20.0314.316.0-1.74
CJ Miles68680.150.35-0.190.15012-1213.612.51.1814.415.9-1.47
Lavoy Allen58580.050.45-0.410.34-1022-3213.912.41.4414.315.6-1.22
Chase Budinger20210.020.48-0.460.08-214-1614.412.91.5116.014.61.36
Joe Young430.000.50-0.500.12-416-2014.013.20.8010.015.0-5.02
Glenn Robinson430.000.50-0.500.12-416-2014.013.20.8010.015.0-5.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.84,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 102, LAC 1160.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,195.1%
ORL 90, MIA 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.86,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,195.0%
LAC 80, DEN 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%