NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	67		Excitement	3.8 [1039]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +9.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	84		Comeback	1.1 [1128]		LVP	Juwan Howard (ORL): -9.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	12	65%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Sean Rooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Britton Johnsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	4	20%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	11	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	14	34%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	18	47%	-0.04	3	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.05	18	50%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.01	0.07	13	78%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	7	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	19	49%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.7	26.3	16.7	22.8	1.7	30.4	122.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +31.7%

SEA +2.8%

SEA +13.4%

SEA +1.8%

SEA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SEA	NBA	ORL	SEA	NBA
this game	18.0	16.3	15.7	80.7	98.8	100.5
season	15.7	15.6		100.9	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.9	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.9	18.1	19.4	16.9	18.0
SEA	14.2	16.2	17.5	17.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	18	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-21	25	16.1	18.6	-2.47	15.1	16.6	-1.55
Steven Hunter	3	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-16	15	18.3	18.0	0.30	24.2	15.8	8.44
Reece Gaines	30	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-16	15	16.0	19.2	-3.21	16.8	15.9	0.84
Andrew DeClercq	27	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-12	7	19.4	17.4	2.01	16.6	16.1	0.49
DeShawn Stevenson	65	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-6	-5	18.4	16.7	1.76	16.3	16.2	0.13
Britton Johnsen	38	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.09	-13	-4	-9	19.4	16.9	2.44	16.8	15.8	0.99
Keith Bogans	56	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-7	-3	17.2	19.8	-2.56	16.4	16.0	0.32
Juwan Howard	56	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.08	-17	0	-17	19.2	15.6	3.64	16.5	15.7	0.81
Tyronn Lue	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-1	-15	18.6	16.6	1.99	15.5	18.0	-2.51
Drew Gooden	62	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	-2	-13	16.9	21.3	-4.40	15.6	18.1	-2.53

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	60	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.10	22	-5	27	16.4	15.9	0.54	19.2	14.9	4.27
Rashard Lewis	60	60	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-2	21	16.3	16.2	0.03	18.9	15.8	3.13
Brent Barry	57	55	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.13	21	-4	25	16.1	16.6	-0.52	19.3	15.6	3.63
Ray Allen	73	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	2	13	16.3	16.1	0.20	18.5	15.4	3.08
Reggie Evans	35	36	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.12	15	2	13	17.0	15.7	1.26	20.5	16.2	4.28
Vladimir Radmanovic	41	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	15	-13	15.5	17.0	-1.44	15.7	20.2	-4.49
Ronald Murray	43	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	18	-19	16.0	16.5	-0.52	16.1	19.9	-3.76
Antonio Daniels	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	20	-23	15.6	16.5	-0.84	15.2	19.1	-3.90
Ansu Sesay	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	20.7	16.1	4.57	18.0	18.0	-0.05
Calvin Booth	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	20.7	16.1	4.57	18.0	18.0	-0.05
Luke Ridnour	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	20.2	16.0	4.20	17.3	18.1	-0.77
Jerome James	22	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	23	-29	15.2	16.6	-1.39	14.6	19.1	-4.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
VAN 95, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%