NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	81		Excitement	3.8 [640]		MVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): +7.8%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.1 [729]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -16.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Crotty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	9	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Cotton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Don MacLean	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	17	49%	-0.02	1	-0.01	13	62%	-0.02
Olden Polynice	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.01	11	21%	-0.10	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	7	29%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Thurl Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	62%	0.06	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	36.9	2.4	29.3	22.4	28.5	2.8	29.0	151.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +39.5%

UTA +2.4%

UTA +10.9%

SEA -6.4%

UTA +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.6	15.8	89.0	107.7	99.6
season	15.4	16.4		102.4	102.6
opponent	16.0	15.9		96.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.3	17.2	14.2	13.5	15.1
UTA	16.0	15.5	16.4	18.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	10.2	15.7	-5.57	18.2	16.3	1.93
James Cotton	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	10.2	15.7	-5.57	18.2	16.3	1.93
Aaron Williams	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	10.4	15.9	-5.49	18.6	16.2	2.36
Olden Polynice	47	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-14	11	15.1	15.1	0.02	15.9	17.3	-1.34
Hersey Hawkins	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-8	-1	16.3	13.6	2.71	15.8	17.5	-1.72
Jelani McCoy	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-8	-1	15.2	15.0	0.23	17.2	16.1	1.09
Dale Ellis	49	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-7	-3	15.4	14.7	0.76	17.2	15.8	1.44
John Crotty	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-6	-5	13.7	16.3	-2.61	18.3	15.0	3.37
Don MacLean	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-4	-9	15.5	14.1	1.43	15.6	19.0	-3.45
Gary Payton	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-1	-15	15.4	14.1	1.29	16.0	18.2	-2.22
Detlef Schrempf	61	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.26	-23	6	-29	16.7	11.8	4.89	16.1	17.5	-1.38

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	59	59	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	-3	23	16.7	16.4	0.25	15.7	14.0	1.66
Greg Ostertag	52	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	3	11	16.4	16.8	-0.44	15.6	14.4	1.17
Jeff Hornacek	46	47	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	5	7	16.2	17.0	-0.76	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Karl Malone	54	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	7	3	15.4	18.3	-2.91	15.3	14.7	0.59
Howard Eisley	54	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	9	-1	17.7	14.9	2.74	13.7	17.1	-3.33
John Stockton	37	37	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	8	1	14.9	17.7	-2.74	17.1	13.7	3.33
Thurl Bailey	24	25	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.17	12	5	7	17.8	16.1	1.71	17.3	14.2	3.09
Shandon Anderson	45	44	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	12	-7	17.0	16.2	0.76	15.4	14.8	0.60
Greg Foster	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	12	-7	16.4	16.6	-0.23	15.7	14.7	0.99
Adam Keefe	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	20	-23	16.4	16.7	-0.25	14.0	15.7	-1.66
Jacque Vaughn	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	22	-27	19.2	16.1	3.01	9.3	15.9	-6.62
Todd Fuller	8	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	19	-21	18.4	16.4	1.98	7.3	15.6	-8.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 90, SEA 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
VAN 95, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
ORL 81, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%