NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	4.3 [963]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +25.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	114		Comeback	1.1 [827]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): -8.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Banks	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.02	15	64%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Pat Burke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	12	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	18	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	18	44%	0.01	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.04	-0.02	19	74%	0.27	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.02	0.04	13	76%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	75%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	16	61%	0.06	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	29.0	14.8	24.2	2.6	27.2	125.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +43.2%

SEA +4.6%

SEA +6.9%

PHX -2.6%

PHX -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.7	15.4	95.7	121.3	104.5
season	13.8	15.4		112.2	105.5
opponent	15.4	16.0		108.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.5	11.8	15.2	17.1	14.9
SEA	15.5	14.4	15.4	18.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-19	14	16.2	14.9	1.31	19.2	15.5	3.70
Sean Marks	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-19	14	14.6	15.0	-0.38	18.4	15.4	3.03
Jumaine Jones	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.14	-5	-19	14	16.9	14.6	2.38	18.3	15.2	3.13
Pat Burke	32	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-20	16	13.5	15.7	-2.22	16.2	15.5	0.74
Shawn Marion	73	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.06	-13	-11	-2	14.9	15.0	-0.14	15.4	17.0	-1.65
James Jones	52	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	-8	-8	16.0	13.6	2.42	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Raja Bell	66	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-11	-2	14.7	15.6	-0.90	14.7	17.9	-3.12
Marcus Banks	57	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.14	-17	-7	-10	14.3	15.9	-1.53	15.9	15.3	0.62
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	-6	-12	15.2	14.0	1.22	15.6	16.2	-0.63
Leandro Barbosa	87	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.20	-24	0	-24	14.8	16.3	-1.46	15.6	17.5	-1.92

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	83	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.12	21	3	18	15.4	18.3	-2.91	14.7	16.9	-2.23
Damien Wilkins	34	34	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.08	15	9	6	16.1	15.5	0.60	14.5	15.2	-0.64
Ray Allen	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	12	0	14.9	18.0	-3.14	15.0	14.7	0.25
Rashard Lewis	72	72	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	13	-2	15.7	15.6	0.09	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Earl Watson	42	42	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.15	15	9	6	16.9	14.7	2.13	15.3	14.7	0.59
Andre Brown	39	40	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.10	12	12	0	14.1	16.8	-2.73	14.3	15.4	-1.02
Luke Ridnour	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.12	11	13	-2	15.2	16.3	-1.08	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Johan Petro	24	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.15	10	14	-4	17.0	15.3	1.69	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Chris Wilcox	42	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	19	-14	17.1	14.5	2.60	16.3	13.9	2.37
Mike Wilks	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	14.7	15.7	-0.99	16.8	14.8	1.97
Mickael Gelabale	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	19	-14	19.2	15.5	3.70	16.2	14.9	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NYK 83, NJN 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
VAN 95, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%