NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	3.8 [1036]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +15.7%
New Jersey Nets	108		Comeback	1.0 [1200]		LVP	Jason Collins (NJN): -10.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	54%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Othella Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	10	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Sweetney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.14	0.00	-0.10	7	14%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	15	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	42%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	14	42%	-0.07	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	13	89%	0.18	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.04	10	87%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	78%	0.14	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	69%	0.03	2	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	9	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	117%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	33.2	15.7	24.6	2.5	29.2	132.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +47.3%

NJN +1.4%

NJN +11.1%

NYK -8.2%

NYK -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	16.8	16.9	15.7	96.5	127.1	100.5
season	15.5	15.3		98.6	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.8		95.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.8	15.5	17.1	18.4	16.8
NJN	16.7	13.2	18.0	20.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	18.0	16.7	1.33	19.9	16.4	3.50
Othella Harrington	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-22	19	15.2	17.4	-2.20	17.1	16.8	0.37
Moochie Norris	14	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.11	-6	-19	13	16.6	16.9	-0.30	16.6	16.9	-0.26
Michael Sweetney	18	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.14	-8	-17	9	18.0	16.5	1.49	17.6	16.7	0.88
Shandon Anderson	53	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-21	17	15.8	18.5	-2.69	16.0	18.1	-2.04
Nazr Mohammed	46	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-18	11	16.1	17.7	-1.63	17.0	16.6	0.39
Kurt Thomas	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-9	-7	17.9	14.9	3.01	17.1	16.4	0.73
Vin Baker	31	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.20	-18	-7	-11	16.6	16.9	-0.33	15.8	17.5	-1.73
Stephon Marbury	67	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	-7	-11	17.0	16.4	0.59	16.6	17.7	-1.17
Tim Thomas	51	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.13	-20	-5	-15	16.7	17.0	-0.29	17.6	15.8	1.80
Anfernee Hardaway	54	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.15	-21	-4	-17	17.2	16.2	1.02	16.0	18.4	-2.35

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	66	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	10	5	16.5	18.2	-1.67	16.2	18.8	-2.62
Kerry Kittles	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	10	5	16.7	17.3	-0.58	16.6	17.5	-0.94
Lucious Harris	54	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	6	13	17.8	15.3	2.47	17.4	15.7	1.71
Rodney Rogers	54	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	7	11	18.3	14.3	4.04	17.8	15.1	2.70
Jason Collins	50	52	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	17	-9	16.0	18.1	-2.04	15.9	18.2	-2.28
Aaron Williams	35	34	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.28	17	8	9	18.1	16.0	2.04	18.2	15.9	2.28
Zoran Planinic	43	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.20	14	11	3	16.2	17.6	-1.41	16.1	17.6	-1.50
Brian Scalabrine	37	37	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.17	12	13	-1	15.1	18.2	-3.15	16.0	17.4	-1.40
Tamar Slay	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	21	-17	17.5	16.8	0.73	17.4	16.7	0.65
Brandon Armstrong	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	18.3	16.7	1.55	19.1	16.6	2.52
Anthony Goldwire	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	13.0	17.0	-4.05	20.0	16.7	3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 90, SEA 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
UTA 84, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%