inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 81 Excitement3.8 [1085] MVPAl Horford (ATL): +7.3%
Atlanta Hawks 98 Comeback1.0 [1193] LVPKent Bazemore (ATL): -10.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.120.000.07969%0.0500.00887%0.00
Shabazz Napier0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Devyn Marble0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Appling-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03333%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.022100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Channing Frye-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.0330%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Vucevic-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.001043%-0.012-0.04367%-0.01
Mario Hezonja-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.041431%-0.061-0.004100%0.00
Elfrid Payton-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.001452%0.055-0.1130%-0.06
Evan Fournier-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.011127%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.00737%-0.042-0.052100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.010.051075%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.011067%0.133-0.071100%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.02567%0.0400.002100%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.01771%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01962%0.061-0.02333%-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00856%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05312%0.0000.00250%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.080.01-0.07837%0.023-0.0200%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.080.000.096100%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01550%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.13-0.01-0.03520%-0.034-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.727.015.422.21.626.2117.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +53.8%
ATL +1.1%
ATL +1.5%
ORL -7.2%
ATL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLATLNBAORLATLNBA
this game15.914.114.984.4102.1105.1
season14.614.2103.6104.1
opponent15.114.9100.3105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.716.016.315.515.9
ATL13.116.014.313.314.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devyn Marble770.00-0.500.50-0.062-192115.415.9-0.4812.914.2-1.37
Keith Appling1920-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-181913.816.4-2.6013.314.3-1.04
Dewayne Dedmon2223-0.04-0.460.430.05-3-141114.716.2-1.5513.614.3-0.68
Shabazz Napier2323-0.13-0.370.25-0.01-4-13916.315.70.5614.713.90.81
Andrew Nicholson1717-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-12718.415.33.0813.814.2-0.37
Jason Smith3536-0.14-0.360.230.01-5-12715.116.3-1.2014.314.00.29
Mario Hezonja4747-0.20-0.300.110.04-8-9116.115.70.4514.214.00.17
Channing Frye3737-0.21-0.290.08-0.01-7-10315.216.3-1.1613.814.4-0.60
Aaron Gordon5252-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-12-5-716.415.21.2414.613.60.94
Evan Fournier4949-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-8-115.716.1-0.4514.014.2-0.17
Tobias Harris6463-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.13-7-10315.616.5-0.9414.313.90.38
Nikola Vucevic5453-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-14-3-1116.415.21.2614.214.10.10
Elfrid Payton5453-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-14-3-1116.415.21.2614.214.10.10

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thabo Sefolosha51520.390.110.29-0.101701714.114.1-0.0216.615.01.62
Jeff Teague48480.340.160.170.01116514.114.1-0.0415.915.90.04
Paul Millsap54550.290.210.090.0398114.413.80.5215.815.9-0.09
Al Horford56560.290.210.08-0.211701713.515.0-1.5016.215.40.77
Tiago Splitter31320.290.210.080.0689-115.213.61.5317.015.31.73
Kyle Korver42430.240.26-0.030.0089-114.413.90.4615.216.4-1.21
Tim Hardaway Jr.39390.200.30-0.09-0.09107314.214.10.1316.015.80.25
Kent Bazemore46450.190.31-0.130.01611-514.014.3-0.2816.115.70.40
Dennis Schroder35350.160.34-0.17-0.16116514.014.2-0.2416.615.51.10
Mike Scott38360.130.37-0.25-0.02512-713.714.4-0.6915.116.3-1.22
Mike Muscala13130.000.50-0.500.15-522-2714.614.00.5713.916.2-2.26
Shelvin Mack13130.000.50-0.500.15-522-2714.614.00.5713.916.2-2.26
Justin Holiday1413-0.020.52-0.540.18-724-3113.614.2-0.5613.916.2-2.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 84, LAL 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
SEA 81, UTA 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
VAN 95, CLE 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%