NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	83		Excitement	4.1 [1006]		MVP	Baron Davis (GSW): +27.1%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	1.0 [1264]		LVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): -15.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Przybilla	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	38%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	21	46%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Ha Seung-Jin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	52%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Theo Ratliff	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	7	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	12	28%	-0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.06	-0.04	15	71%	0.27	1	-0.00	11	82%	0.04
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	13	45%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.03
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	11	43%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.18	-0.02	-0.05	15	31%	-0.09	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	31.4	17.5	26.0	1.8	24.2	129.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +38.9%

POR -0.3%

GSW +11.5%

POR -0.6%

GSW +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	16.0	16.2	15.6	93.3	108.9	104.4
season	16.6	14.8		99.4	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		104.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.3	14.1	16.9	14.7	16.0
GSW	14.4	15.9	16.6	18.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	11.7	16.1	-4.44	23.7	16.0	7.70
Charles Smith	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	11.7	16.1	-4.44	23.7	16.0	7.70
Steve Blake	42	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-14	13	16.3	15.6	0.72	17.5	15.1	2.37
Travis Outlaw	39	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-13	11	14.6	17.0	-2.43	16.5	16.0	0.56
Zach Randolph	42	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-10	5	15.2	16.7	-1.49	15.7	16.7	-1.04
Viktor Khryapa	34	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-5	-5	16.9	15.3	1.60	16.3	16.1	0.20
Theo Ratliff	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-3	-9	16.1	15.9	0.17	14.5	17.0	-2.49
Joel Przybilla	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-11	7	17.3	14.3	2.92	17.1	15.2	1.93
Sebastian Telfair	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-7	-1	14.9	17.6	-2.74	16.1	16.5	-0.45
Juan Dixon	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-7	-1	16.9	14.5	2.35	16.7	15.4	1.30
Ruben Patterson	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	16.0	15.9	0.05	15.1	17.6	-2.50
Jarrett Jack	49	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-1	-13	16.0	15.9	0.10	15.2	17.4	-2.21

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	74	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	-2	19	15.3	20.3	-4.97	15.7	17.2	-1.49
Monta Ellis	52	50	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	2	11	15.7	16.9	-1.21	16.5	15.3	1.15
Andris Biedrins	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	3	9	15.1	17.2	-2.16	16.4	15.5	0.90
Troy Murphy	65	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	8	-1	17.0	14.3	2.63	16.3	15.1	1.17
Derek Fisher	68	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	10	-5	17.3	13.0	4.32	16.2	15.3	0.85
Mickael Pietrus	51	49	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	4	7	16.6	15.7	0.89	16.4	15.4	0.96
Ike Diogu	30	28	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	8	-1	14.8	16.9	-2.13	15.5	16.2	-0.72
Adonal Foyle	43	43	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	11	-7	17.2	15.3	1.93	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Zarko Cabarkapa	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	16	-17	16.2	16.2	0.02	14.2	16.6	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NJN 86, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DAL 109, SAC 130	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%