NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	3.9 [1027]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +10.4%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	1.1 [1271]		LVP	Al Thornton (LAC): -6.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	14	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	10	50%	-0.05
Jason Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.08	14	64%	-0.00	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Mardy Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	9	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	48%	-0.00	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
Al Thornton	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	18	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.00	-0.05	17	59%	0.14	3	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	7	81%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	55%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	5	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	56%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	75%	0.05	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	34.2	15.0	26.2	3.4	31.5	135.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +53.2%

PHX +2.5%

LAC -4.1%

LAC -1.9%

PHX +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	14.3	15.5	104.3	114.0	106.4
season	15.7	14.1		100.7	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.8	16.1	17.4	15.7	16.5
PHX	15.9	12.1	14.5	15.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	39	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-7	6	16.8	16.2	0.63	13.8	14.6	-0.79
Paul Davis	17	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.07	-1	-7	6	14.2	17.0	-2.81	11.8	14.8	-3.02
Steve Novak	32	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-10	12	15.3	17.1	-1.82	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Fred Jones	67	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.46	9	-17	26	15.7	18.4	-2.71	14.1	14.8	-0.66
Jason Hart	18	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.11	-13	5	-18	17.9	16.1	1.81	14.6	14.2	0.34
Brian Skinner	70	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	17.3	14.0	3.27	14.7	12.9	1.84
Marcus Camby	77	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	0	-8	16.5	16.4	0.15	15.1	11.2	3.90
Al Thornton	70	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.12	-12	4	-16	16.9	15.2	1.65	14.4	14.1	0.25
Eric Gordon	80	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.21	-10	2	-12	16.5	16.6	-0.11	14.4	13.8	0.61

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	62	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-12	32	14.1	14.8	-0.69	17.0	15.4	1.58
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	0	8	13.9	15.8	-1.96	16.8	15.4	1.37
Jason Richardson	71	72	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	0	8	14.9	12.5	2.43	16.6	16.0	0.57
Shaquille O'Neal	69	69	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	4	0	14.6	13.6	0.98	17.3	14.2	3.16
Grant Hill	58	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	9	-10	14.4	14.1	0.36	16.1	17.2	-1.15
Lou Amundson	40	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	5	-2	14.4	14.2	0.24	14.9	17.7	-2.75
Leandro Barbosa	47	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	13	-18	13.3	15.3	-1.96	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Matt Barnes	41	42	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	6	-4	14.6	14.1	0.49	16.7	16.3	0.47
Jared Dudley	4	4	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	7	-6	16.2	14.2	2.03	12.5	16.7	-4.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DAL 109, SAC 130	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
LAC 78, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%