NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	126		Excitement	5.7 [689]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BKN): +34.0%
Brooklyn Nets	134		Comeback	1.1 [1282]		LVP	Buddy Hield (IND): -9.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duane Washington Jr.	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.06	0.01	11	82%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Oshae Brissett	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.17	0.00	0.08	20	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	15	44%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	14	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gabe York	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Lance Stephenson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	8	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Buddy Hield	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	23	46%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.23	0.11	0.00	20	83%	0.36	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.01	0.03	9	100%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.01	6	100%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.02	13	68%	0.17	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.04	-0.01	17	45%	0.05	6	-0.13	10	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	0.2	32.0	14.5	25.4	3.4	31.4	133.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +47.6%

BKN +8.9%

BKN +13.3%

IND -20.7%

BKN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	13.2	14.2	14.5	117.8	128.8	110.8
season	14.4	14.4		111.4	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.7		112.1	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	12.9	13.8	13.0	13.2
BKN	12.7	13.8	15.7	14.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	63	65	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-15	22	13.8	12.3	1.51	14.7	13.2	1.56
Gabe York	19	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-7	6	11.5	13.5	-1.99	13.8	14.2	-0.41
Isaiah Jackson	69	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-11	14	12.5	14.3	-1.75	14.2	13.9	0.31
Buddy Hield	76	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-8	8	13.3	12.9	0.36	14.6	13.0	1.53
Duane Washington Jr.	46	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-4	0	12.9	13.4	-0.47	13.4	14.7	-1.26
Oshae Brissett	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	1	-10	13.8	11.6	2.18	14.6	13.1	1.48
Lance Stephenson	44	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	7	-22	12.7	13.5	-0.81	12.8	15.0	-2.20
Terry Taylor	57	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	4	-16	13.5	12.8	0.67	13.4	14.9	-1.46
Tyrese Haliburton	85	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	1	-10	13.1	13.4	-0.31	14.4	13.0	1.37

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	66	69	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.19	16	-8	24	14.1	14.2	-0.13	13.0	13.4	-0.37
Kevin Durant	87	89	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-2	12	14.4	12.9	1.52	13.2	12.8	0.39
Kessler Edwards	84	86	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	0	8	14.0	14.8	-0.86	13.5	11.9	1.62
Nic Claxton	50	50	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	1	6	14.1	14.2	-0.10	14.0	12.4	1.65
Kyrie Irving	86	90	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	5	-2	14.1	14.5	-0.42	13.3	12.5	0.75
Bruce Brown	84	85	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	8	-8	14.2	13.8	0.44	12.5	15.6	-3.12
Cam Thomas	19	21	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	10	-12	14.3	14.1	0.13	12.3	13.4	-1.09
Andre Drummond	44	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	10	-12	14.0	14.2	-0.19	13.0	13.3	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.74,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, NJN 124	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	93.3%
IND 96, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	93.1%
SAC 108, POR 114	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1	92.9%