NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	117		Excitement	6.2 [553]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +26.4%
New Jersey Nets	124		Comeback	1.0 [998]		LVP	Shawne Williams (IND): -10.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.27	0.03	0.03	16	79%	0.26	0	0.00	10	100%	0.04
Ike Diogu	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	8	80%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Danny Granger	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	16	54%	0.18	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Ronald Murray	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	9	78%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.02	6	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	12	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.08	-0.01	12	64%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.00	3	100%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.11	-0.03	16	56%	0.22	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	13	79%	0.23	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.04	0.03	12	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	16	50%	-0.07
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.00	14	59%	0.11	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	32.8	15.8	25.4	2.5	28.3	134.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +57.9%

IND -7.5%

NJN +3.6%

IND -5.9%

NJN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	15.4	119.4	129.2	105.7
season	13.8	15.4		104.5	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	13.3	14.1	13.0	13.9
NJN	15.0	16.7	14.1	17.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	35	35	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-11	15	13.9	13.9	-0.02	15.5	16.0	-0.56
Kareem Rush	56	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.28	9	-16	25	14.1	13.5	0.64	16.0	15.6	0.42
Travis Diener	56	55	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.30	9	-16	25	13.8	14.0	-0.15	15.9	15.7	0.24
Danny Granger	61	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-3	-1	14.0	13.6	0.35	15.9	15.8	0.05
Ike Diogu	46	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-10	13	13.8	13.9	-0.16	16.1	15.7	0.41
Marquis Daniels	42	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-8	9	13.8	13.9	-0.14	15.5	16.1	-0.63
David Harrison	17	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.15	-14	7	-21	14.1	13.8	0.30	16.0	15.8	0.19
Mike Dunleavy	89	87	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-8	9	13.6	16.6	-2.96	16.0	14.7	1.30
Ronald Murray	39	38	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.04	-19	12	-31	14.1	13.7	0.39	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Shawne Williams	49	49	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.13	-25	18	-43	13.8	13.9	-0.06	15.7	16.0	-0.35

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	77	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-7	21	15.9	15.4	0.53	14.3	11.9	2.45
Devin Harris	78	80	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-3	13	15.3	18.2	-2.86	14.7	9.9	4.81
Bostjan Nachbar	68	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.45	-3	10	-13	15.7	16.1	-0.37	13.4	14.9	-1.44
Josh Boone	63	63	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	-3	13	15.7	16.1	-0.33	14.5	12.8	1.70
Vince Carter	82	84	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	1	5	15.3	18.9	-3.53	14.3	11.0	3.35
Nenad Krstic	35	37	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	-2	11	15.9	15.8	0.02	14.4	13.5	0.91
Trenton Hassell	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.22	-5	12	-17	17.7	15.0	2.71	11.3	15.0	-3.70
Marcus Williams	25	26	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	7	-7	16.5	15.6	0.86	11.1	14.9	-3.80
DeSagana Diop	21	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	13	-19	16.7	15.6	1.05	12.7	14.2	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.73,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 89, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,1,1	94.3%
SAS 94, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,1	93.2%
CLE 100, BOS 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%