NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	114		Excitement	8.5 [192]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +38.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	117		Comeback	3.3 [428]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (BKN): -18.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.21	0.11	0.09	-0.02	33	60%	0.31	5	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Landry Shamet	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	-0.00	9	81%	0.29	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	65%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alize Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.05	0.05	6	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	21	45%	-0.03	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.41,0.38	0.38	0.24	0.15	0.01	36	63%	0.44	1	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.14	-0.00	21	60%	0.28	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	7	80%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	16	50%	0.06	4	-0.11	4	25%	-0.10
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	5	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.4	25.6	15.4	26.6	2.8	33.2	133.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +53.1%

BKN -17.2%

BKN -5.4%

MIL +17.2%

MIL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIL	NBA	BKN	MIL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.8	14.4	110.7	111.4	111.3
season	14.1	13.5		116.6	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.6		109.3	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.3	14.9	14.9	13.7	13.9
MIL	14.3	13.3	12.9	14.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Johnson	25	24	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.05	5	-8	13	15.6	13.4	2.26	14.0	13.7	0.36
Alize Johnson	7	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-4	5	10.9	14.2	-3.30	16.7	13.6	3.16
Mike James	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	0	-3	16.5	13.6	2.82	12.5	13.9	-1.36
Bruce Brown	10	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	0	-3	13.3	14.0	-0.70	13.4	13.8	-0.44
DeAndre Jordan	53	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	14.8	13.0	1.89	13.0	14.5	-1.50
Landry Shamet	59	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	4	-11	14.5	13.2	1.27	13.4	14.2	-0.77
Joe Harris	74	79	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-5	7	13.4	15.4	-2.06	13.9	13.3	0.60
Jeff Green	70	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-2	1	13.9	13.9	-0.01	14.1	12.9	1.20
Kyrie Irving	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.57	3	-6	9	13.3	16.0	-2.61	13.8	13.6	0.21
Blake Griffin	39	40	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	13.8	14.0	-0.26	13.9	13.7	0.18
Kevin Durant	87	88	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	5	-13	13.6	15.6	-2.00	13.8	13.6	0.14

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	67	65	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.50	9	-6	15	13.3	14.6	-1.28	14.6	12.7	1.89
Khris Middleton	79	75	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.37	12	-9	21	13.8	13.8	-0.01	14.3	13.0	1.33
Giannis Antetokounmpo	78	76	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.50	5	-2	7	13.5	14.5	-0.97	14.5	12.3	2.17
Jrue Holiday	80	79	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.45	-4	7	-11	14.2	12.3	1.95	13.2	16.4	-3.24
Pat Connaughton	50	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	2	-1	14.4	13.2	1.14	13.0	14.9	-1.88
Jeff Teague	22	22	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	-1	5	13.1	13.9	-0.85	16.1	13.3	2.75
P.J. Tucker	51	51	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	10	-17	14.1	13.4	0.65	12.8	15.0	-2.23
Brook Lopez	56	54	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	13.1	14.5	-1.33	14.9	12.8	2.13
Bryn Forbes	42	40	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	6	-9	14.1	13.5	0.63	12.6	14.8	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.91,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.8%
SAS 67, HOU 73	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.78,0.95,0.99,1	92.2%
MIA 86, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	91.9%