NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	116		Excitement	8.2 [240]		MVP	Nicolas Claxton (BKN): +24.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	2.7 [312]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -17.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Claxton	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.14	-0.00	10	80%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.07	0.01	12	65%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.06	-0.02	4	80%	0.13	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Johnson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	7	50%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	73%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	14	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	-0.16	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16	-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	24	41%	-0.09	4	-0.07	13	85%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.07	0.02	8	79%	0.20	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	8	72%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	12	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.12	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.15	-0.01	17	51%	-0.02	3	-0.13	9	100%	0.05
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	19	40%	-0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.7	27.1	15.3	26.6	2.6	36.4	139.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +35.3%

POR -1.7%

BKN +2.6%

BKN +5.6%

BKN +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	POR	NBA	BKN	POR	NBA
this game	14.4	14.9	14.4	118.4	114.3	111.3
season	14.1	14.9		116.6	116.9
opponent	14.2	14.6		115.1	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.8	14.3	13.7	14.9	14.4
POR	14.6	16.3	14.5	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Harris	67	66	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-8	20	14.3	14.6	-0.30	15.1	14.7	0.39
Tyler Johnson	47	46	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	-1	6	14.4	14.5	-0.15	14.8	15.1	-0.23
Nicolas Claxton	40	43	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	0	4	15.4	13.8	1.67	15.7	14.3	1.42
Blake Griffin	39	39	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	-5	14	13.9	14.8	-0.94	16.2	14.1	2.09
Jeff Green	72	70	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	6	-8	14.7	13.8	0.86	14.4	16.4	-2.07
James Harden	83	83	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.33	-5	9	-14	14.4	14.9	-0.51	14.5	17.7	-3.21
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	55	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	7	-10	14.7	14.1	0.57	15.3	14.5	0.82
Bruce Brown	44	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	-3	10	14.1	14.7	-0.63	15.4	14.6	0.75
DeAndre Jordan	43	44	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	11	-18	14.1	14.7	-0.66	14.0	15.7	-1.72

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	79	80	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.37	8	-12	20	15.0	14.7	0.26	15.0	12.1	2.85
Damian Lillard	80	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.37	7	-11	18	14.6	16.7	-2.10	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Robert Covington	51	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-4	4	14.2	15.7	-1.49	14.9	13.9	1.06
Rodney Hood	39	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	3	-10	15.8	14.4	1.49	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Derrick Jones Jr.	67	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	1	-6	14.6	15.6	-0.97	14.6	14.1	0.49
Carmelo Anthony	46	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	6	-16	15.7	14.3	1.41	14.1	14.7	-0.62
CJ McCollum	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	14.6	16.3	-1.70	14.5	14.1	0.41
Gary Trent Jr.	50	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	6	-16	15.8	14.1	1.70	14.0	14.9	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.65,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.21,0.33,0.15,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, CHA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	92.6%
CHH 98, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.34,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.27,0	92.4%
POR 118, NYK 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.2,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.15,0	92.4%