NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	6.3 [561]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): +11.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	87		Comeback	2.1 [390]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): -11.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	8	72%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Kaman	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	13	53%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Craig Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	64%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Jamario Moon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	11	57%	0.11	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Randy Foye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Ryan Gomes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.02	7	57%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	-0.00	13	68%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	11	61%	0.13	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Eduardo Najera	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.04	18	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	9	41%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	4	20%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	16	36%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	3.4	25.4	16.5	24.9	1.8	38.2	136.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.0%

LAC +14.7%

LAC +4.2%

LAC +1.2%

CHA -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHA	NBA	LAC	CHA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.0	15.5	97.9	94.6	105.7
season	15.4	16.2		104.4	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.5	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	14.4	14.6	15.3	15.0
CHA	17.2	15.6	16.7	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	60	59	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.19	15	-10	25	14.8	15.1	-0.30	16.3	15.6	0.65
Al-Farouq Aminu	50	49	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-3	11	15.2	14.7	0.48	16.8	15.1	1.70
Eric Bledsoe	42	41	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.02	17	-12	29	13.4	16.2	-2.81	16.2	15.9	0.36
Randy Foye	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	5	-5	15.2	14.3	0.81	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Blake Griffin	72	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	5	-5	15.0	14.9	0.12	16.1	15.9	0.21
Craig Smith	20	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	5	-5	16.3	14.6	1.71	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Mo Williams	64	64	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.29	-8	13	-21	15.2	14.4	0.77	15.5	17.2	-1.66
Jamario Moon	14	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	3	-1	14.7	15.0	-0.29	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Ryan Gomes	44	43	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	8	-11	14.7	15.2	-0.48	15.1	16.8	-1.70
DeAndre Jordan	33	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	11	-17	15.5	14.7	0.77	16.5	15.7	0.78

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	53	55	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.08	6	-11	17	15.8	16.3	-0.54	15.5	14.2	1.33
Matt Carroll	15	16	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-5	5	15.5	16.1	-0.58	14.3	15.1	-0.78
Joel Przybilla	18	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	0	-5	16.9	15.8	1.08	14.6	15.1	-0.44
Eduardo Najera	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-4	3	16.2	16.0	0.22	17.3	14.7	2.63
Kwame Brown	54	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-3	1	16.4	15.5	0.89	14.9	15.0	-0.16
Gerald Henderson	71	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	15.8	16.8	-1.02	15.6	13.0	2.56
D.J. Augustin	63	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-4	3	16.1	15.9	0.23	14.8	15.4	-0.61
Shaun Livingston	46	47	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	2	-9	15.6	16.4	-0.78	14.3	15.6	-1.32
DJ White	53	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	3	-11	16.0	16.1	-0.10	14.2	16.0	-1.77
Boris Diaw	78	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	3	-11	16.2	15.0	1.21	15.1	14.3	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.1%
MIN 95, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	94.1%
MIA 125, HOU 119	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.75,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.07,0.1,0.02,0,0.05,0	93.8%