NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	118		Excitement	8.6 [226]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +33.3%
New York Knicks	114		Comeback	3.7 [607]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -13.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33	0.18	0.15	-0.01	23	67%	0.36	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.13	-0.00	9	75%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nik Stauskas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	6	69%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	22	54%	0.18	4	-0.16	10	80%	-0.00
Jake Layman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	9	56%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wade Baldwin IV	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	14	41%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.18,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.07	0.01	21	63%	0.27	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.09
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	9	80%	0.20	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	15	63%	0.23	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	3	86%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.12	-0.03	8	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.23
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	24.4	15.3	21.6	2.6	33.3	123.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +12.8%

POR +1.8%

POR +21.4%

POR +10.1%

POR +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	13.3	14.3	119.2	116.3	109.3
season	14.9	14.5		112.6	103.8
opponent	14.1	13.9		112.5	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.7	14.1	15.5	18.7	15.9
NYK	13.0	13.1	14.0	13.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	68	70	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.41	16	-12	28	16.1	15.6	0.48	13.3	13.5	-0.21
Damian Lillard	76	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-4	12	15.5	17.3	-1.87	13.4	13.1	0.31
Zach Collins	23	26	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.16	9	-5	14	16.5	15.7	0.80	15.2	12.6	2.55
Meyers Leonard	33	35	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	-4	12	16.5	15.6	0.86	14.1	12.9	1.29
CJ McCollum	80	77	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	1	2	15.7	16.9	-1.22	13.7	12.0	1.61
Nik Stauskas	34	36	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	3	-2	16.4	15.7	0.72	13.6	13.1	0.51
Jusuf Nurkic	66	63	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	8	-12	15.6	16.5	-0.86	12.9	14.1	-1.29
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	60	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	11	-18	15.9	15.9	-0.06	12.6	14.4	-1.85
Wade Baldwin IV	14	15	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	10	-16	17.5	15.6	1.85	10.8	13.8	-2.97
Jake Layman	38	34	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	12	-20	15.7	16.1	-0.41	13.1	13.4	-0.35

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	56	58	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.15	12	-16	28	12.7	14.1	-1.40	15.4	16.6	-1.24
Mario Hezonja	37	39	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-5	6	13.1	13.5	-0.42	14.1	17.1	-2.94
Tim Hardaway Jr.	75	77	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.29	10	-14	24	12.8	15.0	-2.20	16.0	15.5	0.53
Emmanuel Mudiay	51	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-11	18	12.5	14.1	-1.60	15.6	16.3	-0.78
Kevin Knox	25	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-2	0	13.6	13.2	0.38	16.2	15.8	0.44
Noah Vonleh	75	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-1	-2	13.6	12.5	1.04	15.9	15.8	0.10
Allonzo Trier	29	28	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	7	-18	14.9	12.7	2.20	16.0	15.9	0.08
Mitchell Robinson	36	35	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	7	-18	13.9	13.0	0.95	16.8	15.4	1.42
Frank Ntilikina	55	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	4	-12	13.4	13.2	0.15	17.0	14.6	2.40
Trey Burke	51	50	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.26	-15	11	-26	13.8	12.8	1.06	16.0	15.8	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.2,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 106, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.15,0	92.4%
BOS 97, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.26,0	92.0%
CHI 113, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.07,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.01,0	91.8%