NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	97		Excitement	9.6 [68]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +10.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	3.6 [307]		LVP	James Robinson (LAC): -47.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	8	65%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dee Brown	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0,-0.12	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	11	46%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.12
Chauncey Billups	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,-0.14	0.05	-0.19	0.00	12	70%	-0.06	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	14	38%	-0.07	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.16	0.01	-0.17	0.00	3	71%	-0.13	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17	-0.08	-0.12	-0.03	21	52%	-0.01	4	-0.15	12	83%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	10	57%	0.10	2	-0.06	8	50%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	17	53%	0.14	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	10	52%	-0.02	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	21%	-0.10	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	8	55%	-0.04	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.00	9	59%	-0.30	3	-0.18	4	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	29.0	15.8	24.2	1.7	48.1	143.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +18.9%

LAC -22.1%

BOS +31.2%

BOS +14.8%

BOS +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	16.0	15.6	102.1	100.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.5		100.2	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		109.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.3	12.7	15.8	15.2	14.1
LAC	17.3	13.5	17.6	16.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dee Brown	59	58	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.45	16	-15	31	15.6	11.7	3.86	17.7	13.4	4.27
Andrew DeClercq	51	52	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-12	25	15.6	12.4	3.24	18.6	12.9	5.75
Bruce Bowen	28	31	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-8	17	14.1	14.2	-0.11	19.2	14.5	4.72
Dana Barros	26	29	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-7	15	15.1	13.8	1.28	18.4	15.0	3.46
Antoine Walker	90	91	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	0	1	14.1	15.4	-1.32	15.8	19.0	-3.16
Chauncey Billups	69	68	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.23	-7	8	-15	13.8	15.1	-1.28	14.7	19.1	-4.34
Walter McCarty	21	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	3	-5	14.6	14.0	0.54	16.6	15.8	0.77
John Thomas	7	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	4	-7	13.7	14.2	-0.47	8.1	16.6	-8.48
Travis Knight	40	40	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.17	-10	11	-21	12.3	15.5	-3.10	13.4	17.9	-4.46
Greg Minor	22	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	8	-15	12.1	14.8	-2.62	12.6	17.0	-4.42
Ron Mercer	62	60	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	14	-27	13.4	15.5	-2.05	14.6	18.3	-3.64

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	47	45	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-3	5	15.4	16.6	-1.17	14.5	13.8	0.65
Rodney Rogers	53	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	7	-15	16.3	15.6	0.72	14.7	13.4	1.25
Darrick Martin	60	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-4	7	15.6	16.6	-1.02	14.2	14.0	0.23
Maurice Taylor	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.54	8	-9	17	15.2	17.1	-1.89	13.5	15.0	-1.49
James Robinson	51	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.52	7	-8	15	14.9	17.3	-2.38	13.8	14.5	-0.67
Brent Barry	45	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	7	-15	17.3	14.9	2.43	13.4	14.8	-1.38
Lorenzen Wright	89	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	0	-1	16.2	14.0	2.16	14.2	13.9	0.30
Lamond Murray	79	77	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.46	-8	7	-15	16.8	12.3	4.50	14.5	12.4	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 106, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.15,0	92.7%
ORL 88, ATL 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0	92.5%
UTA 110, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0	92.4%