NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	141		Excitement	9.9 [67]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BKN): +32.9%
Brooklyn Nets	145		Comeback	3.6 [491]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -14.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.31	0.17	0.16	0.01	20	67%	0.33	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.28	0.17	0.10	-0.01	14	73%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cam Reddish	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.14	0.01	11	62%	0.24	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.04
Kevin Huerter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	6	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
De'Andre Hunter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1	-0.00	-0.10	-0.00	13	42%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.1,0.02,-0.08,-0.18,-0.14,-0.15	0.02	-0.14	0.03	18	58%	0.10	5	-0.24	16	87%	0.08

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.33	0.33	-0.01	0.31	-0.03	27	45%	0.39	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.23	0.10	0.02	11	96%	0.32	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.17	0.02	22	62%	0.37	4	-0.13	9	100%	0.12
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.07	0.00	5	117%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	5	120%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.01	7	79%	0.19	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	24.4	14.5	27.0	1.7	34.4	128.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +93.3%

ATL -28.4%

ATL -32.3%

BKN +13.6%

BKN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BKN	NBA	ATL	BKN	NBA
this game	13.6	12.9	14.4	129.4	134.3	111.3
season	14.7	14.1		112.8	116.6
opponent	14.6	14.5		111.9	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.8	15.0	15.0	13.1	13.6
BKN	13.0	14.4	11.7	12.6	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	6	6	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-5	6	14.8	13.6	1.26	13.7	12.9	0.81
Clint Capela	47	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-5	6	14.4	13.1	1.30	12.9	12.9	0.02
Bruno Fernando	13	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	0	-4	15.0	13.5	1.54	12.9	12.9	-0.05
John Collins	73	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-9	14	12.8	15.4	-2.69	12.4	13.9	-1.55
Rajon Rondo	37	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	5	-14	13.4	13.8	-0.40	13.2	12.8	0.40
Trae Young	73	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-9	14	13.6	13.7	-0.16	12.8	13.2	-0.40
Solomon Hill	37	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	5	-14	14.1	13.4	0.71	13.6	12.6	0.99
De'Andre Hunter	76	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-7	10	14.0	12.9	1.09	12.8	13.2	-0.41
Cam Reddish	72	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-7	10	13.8	13.4	0.44	12.5	13.7	-1.21
Kevin Huerter	47	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	6	-16	14.1	13.3	0.78	13.4	12.5	0.86
Bogdan Bogdanovic	64	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	2	-8	12.8	14.9	-2.09	13.3	12.3	0.91

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	56	57	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-4	12	12.9	12.9	-0.01	12.9	14.4	-1.46
Caris LeVert	50	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-7	18	13.6	12.3	1.38	14.7	12.7	1.98
Landry Shamet	40	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	-7	18	13.1	12.8	0.28	12.4	14.4	-1.93
Kevin Durant	81	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	3	-2	12.8	13.1	-0.33	13.2	14.8	-1.62
Jeff Green	28	30	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-4	12	13.8	12.6	1.25	16.0	12.8	3.21
Taurean Prince	40	42	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	-3	10	13.3	12.6	0.68	14.2	13.3	0.85
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	63	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	9	-14	12.4	13.6	-1.17	12.7	14.9	-2.20
Joe Harris	68	68	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.36	-7	11	-18	12.8	13.1	-0.28	14.4	12.4	1.93
DeAndre Jordan	36	35	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.00	-8	12	-20	12.5	13.1	-0.60	13.0	14.0	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.95,1	93.0%
MIN 92, SEA 100	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.64,0.85,0.97,0.96,1	93.0%
MIN 102, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%