NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	6.9 [424]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +19.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	100		Comeback	3.2 [334]		LVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): -36.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.2	0.13	0.07	-0.00	19	72%	0.30	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	20	59%	0.09	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.10	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.34,-0.36,-0.36	-0.21	-0.14	0.01	14	41%	-0.03	8	-0.34	4	75%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.06	0.02	18	75%	0.30	3	-0.11	8	100%	0.06
Brent Barry	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.04	0.00	8	55%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	2	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	15	58%	0.15	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.03
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	3	62%	-0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	43%	-0.07	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	12	17%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	46.5	2.8	29.5	19.0	28.2	2.6	41.4	170.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -2.2%

SEA +25.8%

MIN -3.3%

SEA +26.3%

SEA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SEA	NBA	MIN	SEA	NBA
this game	14.9	16.2	15.5	100.0	107.5	101.6
season	14.9	16.5		104.0	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.9	16.5	16.7	13.1	14.9
SEA	16.1	14.8	20.1	14.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	12	12	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.09	-2	-6	4	14.6	14.9	-0.35	17.8	16.0	1.83
Gary Trent	13	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-4	0	19.6	14.1	5.50	12.8	16.9	-4.10
Rasho Nesterovic	72	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-14	20	14.0	18.0	-4.04	17.1	13.4	3.63
Kendall Gill	24	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	1	-10	16.2	14.4	1.84	16.3	16.2	0.15
Anthony Peeler	68	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-9	10	14.4	16.2	-1.84	16.2	16.3	-0.15
Kevin Garnett	87	87	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-8	8	14.2	26.2	-11.96	17.0	5.7	11.30
Joe Smith	20	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	6	-20	18.0	14.0	4.04	13.4	17.1	-3.63
Troy Hudson	80	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	-2	-4	14.9	14.6	0.35	16.0	17.8	-1.83
Wally Szczerbiak	84	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	4	-16	14.8	15.5	-0.67	16.1	17.6	-1.46

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	52	49	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.24	20	-12	32	14.8	18.1	-3.33	15.9	13.7	2.24
Kevin Ollie	58	56	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.16	22	-14	36	15.6	17.4	-1.82	16.1	13.1	3.02
Elden Campbell	24	24	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-4	16	14.1	17.0	-2.90	12.8	15.6	-2.78
Rashard Lewis	84	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	2	4	16.6	12.7	3.95	14.3	20.6	-6.28
Ray Allen	84	85	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	16.5	13.7	2.85	14.7	17.1	-2.44
Jerome James	32	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	3	2	15.6	16.6	-0.93	18.2	13.3	4.86
Predrag Drobnjak	57	57	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	14	-20	16.9	15.2	1.75	15.2	14.4	0.75
Reggie Evans	39	40	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	18	-28	17.6	15.2	2.37	13.6	15.8	-2.20
Brent Barry	35	36	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.11	-14	22	-36	17.4	15.6	1.82	13.1	16.1	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.64,0.85,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.95,1	93.4%
MIL 94, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.87,0.96,1	92.3%
MIN 102, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	92.2%