NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	7.5 [374]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +39.6%
Orlando Magic	108		Comeback	2.9 [181]		LVP	Jeff Teague (MIN): -19.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	22	58%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Taj Gibson	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	16	56%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	13	54%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	12	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.10	0.02	17	38%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.20	0.18	-0.02	22	70%	0.42	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.11	-0.02	9	78%	0.26	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	12	42%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.14	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Shelvin Mack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	7	53%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	17	38%	-0.03	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	29.5	14.7	25.8	1.5	37.5	133.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +54.9%

ORL +6.8%

ORL +18.3%

MIN -30.4%

ORL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ORL	NBA	MIN	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	14.7	107.4	112.5	107.5
season	15.3	14.6		111.8	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.4		109.1	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.7	16.2	17.3	15.0	15.5
ORL	14.0	18.1	14.0	13.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-8	10	15.7	15.4	0.31	22.1	14.0	8.10
Gorgui Dieng	34	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-3	0	15.4	15.5	-0.03	14.5	14.8	-0.35
Andrew Wiggins	70	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-6	6	14.9	17.0	-2.14	14.1	16.2	-2.05
Tyus Jones	24	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	1	-8	16.4	15.2	1.22	15.2	14.5	0.68
Jeff Teague	71	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-7	8	15.2	16.4	-1.22	14.5	15.2	-0.68
Jamal Crawford	36	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	1	-8	15.7	15.3	0.37	14.6	14.7	-0.14
Karl-Anthony Towns	79	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-4	2	15.6	14.6	1.01	15.2	12.5	2.71
Jimmy Butler	78	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	-1	-4	15.6	14.8	0.85	14.2	17.0	-2.76
Taj Gibson	75	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.29	-9	3	-12	15.5	15.2	0.27	14.6	15.3	-0.70

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	46	47	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.32	13	-7	20	15.0	14.4	0.54	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Aaron Gordon	79	76	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-1	8	14.3	16.5	-2.15	15.5	15.4	0.05
Khem Birch	34	36	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-7	20	15.4	14.3	1.06	16.1	15.1	1.00
Jonathon Simmons	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	3	0	14.9	14.3	0.56	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Evan Fournier	73	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	7	-8	14.5	15.2	-0.68	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Shelvin Mack	11	10	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	3	0	10.7	15.2	-4.48	18.1	15.2	2.95
Mario Hezonja	35	36	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	1	4	14.3	14.9	-0.65	15.7	15.3	0.37
Wes Iwundu	19	21	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	3	0	16.2	14.3	1.89	15.4	15.5	-0.11
Bismack Biyombo	62	58	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	13	-20	14.3	15.4	-1.06	15.2	15.9	-0.75
Arron Afflalo	8	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	8	-10	22.1	14.0	8.10	14.2	15.6	-1.37
Elfrid Payton	50	48	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	13	-20	14.4	15.0	-0.54	15.6	15.3	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	93.7%
ATL 76, IND 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.81,0.93,0.84,0.99,1	93.2%
LAC 85, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,1	93.0%