NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	76		Excitement	6.5 [492]		MVP	Sam Perkins (IND): +12.9%
Indiana Pacers	84		Comeback	2.9 [592]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -26.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	10	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Hanno Mottola	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Colson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	-0.03	14	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	-0.02	13	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	13	23%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.18,-0.13,-0.1,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	22	36%	-0.12	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.02	4	62%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.10	-0.04	18	62%	0.19	5	-0.07	11	82%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	7	56%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.26	-0.26	-0.16	-0.09	0.01	19	35%	-0.17	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.4	15.6	22.3	2.7	34.3	129.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.8%

ATL -1.5%

IND +2.8%

IND +1.4%

ATL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	15.5	82.6	91.3	100.9
season	15.4	15.9		96.0	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		99.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.9	14.3	16.6	15.6	15.3
IND	15.7	14.5	18.4	15.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-10	12	13.2	15.8	-2.52	15.1	16.2	-1.15
Dion Glover	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-7	6	14.3	15.6	-1.36	15.4	16.2	-0.86
Sean Colson	5	5	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-5	2	12.2	15.5	-3.27	16.4	16.0	0.41
Hanno Mottola	6	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	13.0	15.5	-2.45	13.0	16.2	-3.22
Alan Henderson	25	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	0	-8	16.1	15.0	1.13	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Lorenzen Wright	70	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-5	2	14.9	16.6	-1.71	16.3	15.0	1.31
Roshown McLeod	64	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-5	2	16.0	13.8	2.17	16.4	15.0	1.43
Dikembe Mutombo	83	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-7	6	15.6	12.9	2.67	16.0	15.8	0.24
Brevin Knight	81	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	0	-8	15.8	11.6	4.15	16.3	14.1	2.18
Jason Terry	85	85	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	3	-14	15.2	16.4	-1.23	15.8	18.9	-3.08

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	34	34	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-1	10	15.1	16.6	-1.46	15.9	14.9	0.93
Al Harrington	74	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-3	14	16.1	15.6	0.57	15.0	16.2	-1.22
Jermaine O'Neal	68	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-8	24	16.4	14.9	1.48	15.8	14.0	1.78
Jalen Rose	87	87	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	3	2	16.0	16.4	-0.41	15.5	12.2	3.27
Travis Best	51	53	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	-1	10	17.3	14.4	2.92	16.3	13.9	2.38
Reggie Miller	73	73	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	3	2	16.3	14.9	1.41	14.8	17.2	-2.35
Derrick McKey	24	24	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	7	-6	13.9	16.8	-2.89	14.7	15.5	-0.74
Austin Croshere	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	11	-14	16.7	15.9	0.81	11.0	15.7	-4.70
Terry Mills	13	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	12	-16	15.5	16.1	-0.55	15.5	15.3	0.20
Zan Tabak	12	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	14	-20	13.7	16.3	-2.60	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Jeff Foster	16	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	11	-14	15.4	16.1	-0.77	14.5	15.5	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.81,0.93,0.84,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	93.2%
NJN 88, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1	91.9%
HOU 81, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.94,0.95,1	91.8%