NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	81		Excitement	7.2 [387]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MEM): +22.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	86		Comeback	2.2 [794]		LVP	Stromile Swift (HOU): -14.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
David Wesley	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Luther Head	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.07	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Yao Ming	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	13	44%	0.06	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.05
Ryan Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.15	11	82%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	7	59%	0.09	5	-0.23	3	67%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.01	12	61%	0.26	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.12	-0.01	17	53%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Roberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	83%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	11	58%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	14	43%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	36%	0.01	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	30.0	16.0	28.8	2.5	34.6	138.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +27.1%

HOU -20.6%

MEM +15.3%

MEM +27.5%

MEM +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	16.1	17.0	15.6	94.2	97.7	104.4
season	16.1	17.1		99.9	103.5
opponent	15.7	16.1		100.0	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.7	16.4	16.1	15.1	16.1
MEM	18.5	17.0	15.2	17.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	18	19	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-7	9	16.6	16.0	0.60	19.0	16.5	2.54
Stromile Swift	32	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-1	-3	16.4	15.9	0.57	18.9	16.0	2.87
Yao Ming	69	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-11	17	16.0	16.5	-0.49	17.2	16.2	1.09
Dikembe Mutombo	17	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	4	-13	16.5	16.0	0.49	16.2	17.2	-1.09
Luther Head	75	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-4	3	16.3	14.3	2.07	16.7	19.0	-2.33
Juwan Howard	52	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-3	1	16.1	16.0	0.09	16.5	17.8	-1.34
David Wesley	73	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	15.8	17.5	-1.72	17.1	16.6	0.43
Jon Barry	43	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	2	-9	16.5	15.6	0.91	16.1	17.8	-1.75
Derek Anderson	51	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	1	-7	15.3	17.3	-2.03	16.9	17.2	-0.36

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	69	68	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.42	9	-4	13	17.0	17.0	0.01	15.7	17.7	-2.00
Bobby Jackson	58	56	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-5	15	16.2	18.6	-2.46	15.9	16.5	-0.59
Shane Battier	73	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-2	9	16.7	18.5	-1.83	16.1	15.9	0.26
Damon Stoudamire	65	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	1	3	16.8	17.7	-0.87	15.5	17.8	-2.22
Pau Gasol	70	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	2	1	16.8	17.9	-1.17	16.5	14.4	2.07
Lorenzen Wright	53	52	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	5	-5	18.6	14.6	3.96	16.1	16.0	0.13
Lawrence Roberts	7	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	6	-7	19.4	16.8	2.63	16.7	16.0	0.69
Antonio Burks	23	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.04	1	4	-3	17.7	16.8	0.87	17.8	15.5	2.22
Dahntay Jones	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	7	-9	19.4	16.8	2.60	16.5	16.0	0.46
Jake Tsakalidis	14	14	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	11	-17	14.8	17.4	-2.65	15.9	16.1	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.98,1,1	92.2%
ATL 76, IND 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.81,0.93,0.84,0.99,1	91.8%
DAL 71, TOR 77	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,1	91.4%