inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 71 Excitement8.4 [172] MVPMorris Peterson (TOR): +19.4%
Toronto Raptors 77 Comeback2.4 [682] LVPAntoine Walker (DAL): -67.0%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eduardo Najera-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00756%0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Shawn Bradley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Howard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.060.03-0.10-0.002061%0.134-0.194100%0.06
Tony Delk-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.00737%-0.031-0.04250%-0.01
Michael Finley-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011339%0.002-0.072100%0.05
Travis Best-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.05-0.01617%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.040.00617%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.670,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.25,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.33,-0.59,-0.67-0.27-0.390.012034%-0.299-0.381100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.190.190.080.120.01686%0.241-0.052100%0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.050.002100%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerome Moiso00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.010.00737%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Antonio Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.021050%0.003-0.08683%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.08-0.061647%-0.023-0.09862%-0.05
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.01922%-0.092-0.0700%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.07-0.100.001246%0.004-0.1800%0.00
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.14-0.09-0.00822%-0.123-0.11250%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.428.90.221.41.839.9117.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +67.6%
DAL -24.4%
DAL -7.2%
TOR +13.9%
TOR +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALTORNBADALTORNBA
this game15.416.715.779.885.6100.5
season14.616.8109.294.8
opponent15.715.698.4105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.717.115.514.515.4
TOR18.014.918.815.516.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Howard11110.03-0.530.560.06-1-5416.415.31.0413.417.2-3.83
Marquis Daniels78-0.10-0.400.31-0.01-3-3019.915.14.7817.516.60.85
Shawn Bradley1615-0.13-0.370.250.02-5-1-416.315.31.0515.916.9-0.95
Eduardo Najera5354-0.19-0.310.12-0.376-121815.315.7-0.3618.913.55.42
Tony Delk6464-0.22-0.280.07-0.272-81016.014.21.7917.714.33.40
Travis Best2828-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.01-104-1414.016.1-2.1713.518.2-4.68
Michael Finley7576-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.361-7814.818.7-3.8717.015.11.87
Antoine Walker7173-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.340-6615.315.9-0.5516.816.30.53
Antawn Jamison4341-0.35-0.15-0.200.06-148-2215.715.30.3914.318.8-4.51
Dirk Nowitzki7780-0.570.07-0.65-0.40-60-615.514.80.7117.014.32.73

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson43420.76-0.261.010.3215-92415.617.8-2.1815.815.10.73
Chris Bosh58570.70-0.200.910.2914-82216.018.0-1.9315.914.71.19
Milt Palacio59590.60-0.100.710.2213-72015.319.4-4.0715.415.5-0.13
Lamond Murray46460.310.190.11-0.0211-51616.017.5-1.4316.614.22.35
Jerome Williams42420.220.28-0.060.28-28-1018.715.03.7415.715.20.50
Vince Carter60590.180.32-0.150.29-410-1416.916.30.6814.417.6-3.19
Jerome Moiso14130.040.46-0.41-0.0124-214.117.2-3.0516.615.21.37
Antonio Davis6363-0.010.51-0.520.13-511-1617.315.41.8815.216.1-0.89
Michael Curry3333-0.110.61-0.710.04-511-1618.016.01.9714.316.1-1.87
Alvin Williams3231-0.200.70-0.900.07-915-2418.815.63.2015.515.40.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 108, NOP 1150.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.58,0.38,0.25,0.36,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.93,192.7%
PHI 91, ORL 990.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.96,192.4%
NJN 77, CLE 810.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.92,191.9%