NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	85		Excitement	8.0 [248]		MVP	Alonzo Gee (CLE): +13.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	3.3 [571]		LVP	Maurice Harkless (ORL): -25.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	19	59%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	20	49%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.05
Doron Lamb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	7	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Beno Udrih	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	12	45%	-0.01	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.04
Andrew Nicholson	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	12	33%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.15	-0.10	0.01	12	27%	-0.17	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.02	12	73%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	14	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	10	23%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	6	67%	0.09	5	-0.20	6	100%	0.05
Kevin Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	15	28%	-0.15	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	29.5	15.3	20.6	2.3	38.7	130.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +20.7%

CLE +5.8%

CLE +27.4%

ORL -4.9%

CLE +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.4	92.4	98.9	104.1
season	15.5	15.5		100.3	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		107.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.0	15.1	17.9	16.4	16.3
CLE	14.0	13.7	18.1	14.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	72	74	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.24	9	-15	24	16.2	16.6	-0.41	16.0	11.1	4.86
Doron Lamb	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-2	-2	17.6	16.0	1.62	10.1	16.1	-5.93
Andrew Nicholson	48	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-4	2	16.7	15.8	0.89	15.8	14.2	1.52
Nikola Vucevic	80	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-6	6	16.4	15.7	0.61	15.6	11.2	4.34
Tobias Harris	77	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-5	4	16.1	17.1	-1.02	15.3	13.2	2.13
DeQuan Jones	24	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-1	-4	14.9	16.8	-1.85	14.0	15.4	-1.42
Kyle O'Quinn	31	31	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	3	-12	16.9	16.0	0.94	12.7	16.2	-3.44
Beno Udrih	81	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-1	-4	16.1	17.9	-1.85	15.3	12.9	2.40
E'Twaun Moore	31	30	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.19	-13	7	-20	16.4	16.2	0.11	14.2	15.4	-1.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Jones	39	41	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-10	26	12.4	17.0	-4.58	16.0	16.5	-0.47
Wayne Ellington	71	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	1	4	15.4	13.9	1.45	16.7	14.8	1.97
Omri Casspi	16	18	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	-5	16	12.7	15.5	-2.75	15.4	16.5	-1.04
Shaun Livingston	51	52	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	-1	8	13.7	16.7	-3.04	15.7	17.1	-1.45
Marreese Speights	25	26	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	0	6	13.0	15.8	-2.83	16.9	16.0	0.89
CJ Miles	13	13	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.11	10	-4	14	9.2	16.0	-6.74	18.1	16.0	2.09
Tristan Thompson	69	68	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.18	-2	8	-10	15.9	12.5	3.39	16.1	16.9	-0.80
Kyrie Irving	68	67	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	8	-10	15.8	12.8	3.02	16.1	16.7	-0.55
Tyler Zeller	48	46	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	13	-20	17.0	12.9	4.09	16.7	15.8	0.91
Alonzo Gee	60	58	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.28	-14	20	-34	16.8	11.7	5.06	16.1	16.6	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 78, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.91,0.95,1	94.0%
DAL 92, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.53,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.92,1	93.5%
MIN 92, SEA 100	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.64,0.85,0.97,0.96,1	93.4%