NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	7.5 [323]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +39.4%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	5.8 [810]		LVP	Derek Harper (DAL): -28.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samaki Walker	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	5	82%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
A.C. Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.04	0.00	24	58%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Greg Dreiling	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Watson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	16	46%	-0.04	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Robert Pack	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.12,-0.18	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	17	43%	0.01	5	-0.19	3	100%	0.04
Derek Harper	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	11	9%	-0.19	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.19	0.21	0.00	10	100%	0.42	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	20	48%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	17	41%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	6	17%	-0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.17,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	15	39%	-0.11	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	25.1	14.6	27.0	1.8	31.2	124.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +11.2%

CHI +2.7%

CHI +26.0%

CHI +8.0%

CHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	NBA	DAL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	17.3	15.6	108.2	110.6	104.4
season	15.9	15.5		99.1	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.7		99.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.0	15.7	17.1	16.7	16.6
CHI	19.0	15.6	18.1	16.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	63	63	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.27	15	-17	32	16.4	17.1	-0.72	17.9	15.5	2.47
Jamie Watson	39	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	17.8	15.6	2.21	18.1	16.6	1.50
Greg Dreiling	16	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	3	-8	21.9	15.4	6.58	14.1	18.0	-3.97
Michael Finley	79	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.43	0	-2	2	16.3	20.0	-3.66	17.3	16.7	0.62
Derek Harper	79	80	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.47	0	-2	2	16.6	17.0	-0.43	17.4	14.8	2.64
Samaki Walker	31	30	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.10	-14	12	-26	16.0	17.0	-1.00	16.9	17.5	-0.54
Shawn Bradley	60	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.57	0	-2	2	15.7	18.8	-3.06	17.6	16.4	1.26
Robert Pack	58	57	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	3	-8	16.2	17.5	-1.29	16.4	19.0	-2.56

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jud Buechler	15	14	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.31	14	-12	26	17.9	17.2	0.71	17.6	16.4	1.25
Luc Longley	56	56	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.52	5	-3	8	18.1	15.7	2.42	16.8	16.2	0.65
Steve Kerr	56	56	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-6	14	16.0	19.7	-3.65	16.5	16.9	-0.40
Dennis Rodman	51	50	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.54	3	-1	4	18.4	15.6	2.87	16.8	16.3	0.49
Ron Harper	42	40	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-7	16	18.7	15.9	2.78	17.6	15.7	1.94
Randy Brown	25	26	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	0	2	16.5	17.6	-1.08	15.1	17.3	-2.19
Robert Parish	18	17	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	1	0	15.8	17.7	-1.84	15.2	16.9	-1.71
Jason Caffey	30	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	2	-2	15.7	18.1	-2.45	16.6	16.6	0.02
Bill Wennington	11	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.08	-4	6	-10	15.5	17.6	-2.10	17.5	16.5	1.05
Michael Jordan	63	64	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.13	-12	14	-26	17.3	17.2	0.14	16.9	15.7	1.18
Scottie Pippen	58	59	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.14	-16	18	-34	17.4	17.0	0.41	16.0	18.0	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.53,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.95,1	93.5%
MEM 78, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.91,0.95,1	93.0%
POR 80, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.74,1	92.8%