inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 78 Excitement6.6 [495] MVPJJ Redick (ORL): +22.8%
Orlando Magic 81 Comeback4.8 [685] LVPO.J. Mayo (MEM): -19.1%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.020.011171%0.132-0.062100%0.03
Marko Jaric0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.01350%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Marc Gasol-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01662%0.042-0.05450%-0.04
Rudy Gay-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.011645%-0.001-0.02850%-0.04
Greg Buckner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Darius Miles-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Hamed Haddadi-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.0010%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Hakim Warrick-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09-0.00-0.080.00750%-0.011-0.07667%-0.02
O.J. Mayo-0.190,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19-0.06-0.15-0.021940%-0.161-0.035100%0.04

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.230.230.070.16-0.00575%0.2300.002100%0.05
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.130.130.020.11-0.001656%0.203-0.074100%0.03
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.040.00850%0.0500.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.003100%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.01837%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.00233%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01629%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.040.00844%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00542%-0.012-0.06250%-0.02
Dwight Howard0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.050.011145%0.004-0.15944%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.429.517.326.52.735.2141.7
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +46.2%
MEM -0.2%
MEM -2.0%
ORL +7.4%
MEM -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMORLNBAMEMORLNBA
this game19.115.215.592.996.4106.4
season16.115.3101.7107.3
opponent15.815.3101.4107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM17.517.521.820.019.1
ORL15.213.814.217.915.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Arthur27280.14-0.640.79-0.036-91520.718.32.3914.615.5-0.84
Marko Jaric21200.11-0.610.720.14-1-2116.719.9-3.1614.515.4-0.86
Hamed Haddadi27280.08-0.580.650.051-4518.319.5-1.1614.615.5-0.89
Greg Buckner1514-0.08-0.420.340.04-41-515.819.8-4.0014.015.4-1.44
Darius Miles1210-0.10-0.400.290.04-52-716.319.5-3.2114.815.3-0.46
Marc Gasol4141-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.471-4520.817.43.3615.614.80.75
Mike Conley7173-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.480-3319.815.04.8315.215.20.02
Rudy Gay7072-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.45-1-2119.517.02.5015.612.82.76
O.J. Mayo7573-0.570.07-0.64-0.48-30-319.317.22.0815.215.10.13
Hakim Warrick6161-0.670.17-0.85-0.41-96-1518.121.7-3.6015.514.31.24

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyronn Lue33320.78-0.281.070.2319-163516.114.61.5118.319.6-1.30
JJ Redick44450.74-0.240.990.4211-81916.014.41.5818.320.0-1.71
Tony Battie36340.72-0.220.930.2217-143115.614.90.6218.719.3-0.58
Hedo Turkoglu60610.58-0.080.670.416-3915.315.00.3419.717.42.27
Dwight Howard66670.370.130.240.3703-315.514.01.5319.617.12.46
Marcin Gortat18170.130.37-0.240.0430314.015.5-1.5317.119.6-2.46
Mickael Pietrus2928-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-25-714.715.5-0.8417.719.8-2.05
Rashard Lewis4850-0.220.72-0.930.19-1417-3114.915.6-0.6219.318.70.58
Courtney Lee3534-0.270.77-1.03-0.00-912-2114.515.7-1.1320.118.41.79
Rafer Alston5152-0.280.78-1.070.19-1619-3514.616.1-1.5119.618.31.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.91,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 85, CLE 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.95,194.0%
DEN 114, CHA 1220.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.34,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.89,0.91,0.98,193.9%
DAL 92, CHI 940.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.53,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.92,193.0%