NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	114		Excitement	7.6 [336]		MVP	Frank Kaminsky (CHA): +43.9%
Charlotte Hornets	122		Comeback	8.4 [184]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -11.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Harris	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25	0.12	0.12	-0.01	14	69%	0.27	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.05	0.01	16	74%	0.26	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.00	11	70%	0.23	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Jameer Nelson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	17	51%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Juan Hernangomez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	8	29%	-0.05	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.19	0.25	-0.00	13	76%	0.44	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.17	-0.00	7	69%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	8	81%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	69%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.01	0.07	23	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	11	82%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Briante Weber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	13	42%	-0.03	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	30.5	15.3	24.6	2.4	29.0	126.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +17.9%

CHA +16.0%

DEN -5.7%

CHA +21.1%

CHA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CHA	NBA	DEN	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	14.5	14.8	117.5	124.5	107.7
season	14.4	15.1		111.6	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.5		107.9	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.0	14.5	14.1	15.9	15.1
CHA	13.5	14.3	14.7	15.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	53	55	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.03	7	-15	22	14.6	15.6	-0.95	14.5	14.4	0.09
Kenneth Faried	63	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-9	10	14.7	15.8	-1.07	15.0	13.5	1.53
Nikola Jokic	74	74	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-11	14	14.6	16.6	-2.01	14.8	13.4	1.39
Danilo Gallinari	69	70	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-11	14	14.4	16.7	-2.36	15.0	13.0	2.01
Wilson Chandler	39	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	0	-8	15.9	14.5	1.42	14.0	14.8	-0.75
Mason Plumlee	26	26	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	4	-16	16.2	14.7	1.48	13.2	14.9	-1.74
Juan Hernangomez	20	20	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	3	-14	17.3	14.5	2.81	12.0	15.1	-3.04
Jamal Murray	59	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	1	-10	14.9	15.4	-0.49	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Gary Harris	82	82	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.25	-14	6	-20	15.5	12.8	2.69	14.5	14.6	-0.11

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	83	82	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	1	6	14.6	13.5	1.11	15.1	15.1	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	55	54	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	4	0	14.3	14.6	-0.28	15.3	14.8	0.51
Jeremy Lamb	31	31	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	1	6	13.7	14.8	-1.11	15.4	14.9	0.51
Marco Belinelli	40	39	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	0	8	14.1	14.7	-0.58	16.0	14.5	1.51
Marvin Williams	58	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	-1	10	15.5	12.9	2.57	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Cody Zeller	64	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	2	4	14.2	15.0	-0.86	15.2	14.9	0.25
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	58	58	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	6	-4	14.6	14.3	0.24	14.9	15.4	-0.48
Miles Plumlee	15	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	8	-8	12.5	14.8	-2.36	15.4	15.0	0.39
Briante Weber	15	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	7	-6	13.5	14.6	-1.11	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	71	69	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	12	-16	14.8	13.5	1.36	14.6	16.3	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.34,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.89,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 78, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.91,0.95,1	93.9%
BOS 92, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.41,0.31,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.82,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.8%
NYK 106, CLE 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	91.1%