NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	80		Excitement	7.4 [324]		MVP	Eddie House (MIA): +24.7%
Miami Heat	86		Comeback	3.5 [199]		LVP	Jamal Robinson (MIA): -18.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.06	0.02	14	67%	0.16	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Greg Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	10	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Scottie Pippen	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	9	48%	0.04	5	-0.20	3	100%	0.02
Steven Smith	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.17	0.02	-0.19	-0.00	12	73%	0.20	5	-0.37	2	50%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	6	14%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.17	0.00	16	64%	0.27	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	29%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	14	63%	0.16	3	-0.21	10	80%	0.02
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	10	55%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Duane Causwell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	13	31%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	8	12%	-0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	-106.0	2.0	25.5	15.7	21.4	2.5	39.2	0.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -9.0%

POR -1.9%

MIA +20.4%

MIA +44.9%

POR -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIA	NBA	POR	MIA	NBA
this game	15.4	17.9	15.5	90.9	101.2	100.9
season	15.8	16.3		103.9	98.4
opponent	16.1	15.8		96.9	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.4	14.4	17.2	13.6	15.4
MIA	19.6	15.6	20.7	16.6	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	56	53	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.33	11	-17	28	15.9	14.6	1.33	18.8	16.3	2.54
Steven Smith	65	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-14	22	15.5	15.2	0.31	18.3	16.7	1.58
Damon Stoudamire	71	68	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-12	18	15.5	15.4	0.04	17.9	17.9	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	80	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-9	12	15.4	15.6	-0.20	17.6	20.5	-2.88
Arvydas Sabonis	23	21	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	5	-16	14.9	15.6	-0.72	19.0	17.5	1.41
Bonzi Wells	26	26	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.03	-12	6	-18	15.4	15.5	-0.08	17.0	18.3	-1.34
Greg Anthony	17	18	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	6	-18	15.4	15.5	-0.04	17.1	18.1	-1.06
Shawn Kemp	30	30	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	10	-26	15.3	15.5	-0.27	17.2	18.3	-1.12
Scottie Pippen	72	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.36	-7	1	-8	15.3	16.2	-0.91	17.6	19.1	-1.42

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	47	49	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.39	14	-8	22	16.6	19.5	-2.95	13.9	17.4	-3.58
Brian Grant	67	70	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	0	6	18.1	16.9	1.20	16.0	13.3	2.72
Anthony Mason	77	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	18.0	17.2	0.71	15.8	11.7	4.06
Anthony Carter	75	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	2	2	18.3	14.6	3.73	15.8	12.7	3.09
Jamal Robinson	35	37	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	-1	8	18.3	17.6	0.67	14.2	16.4	-2.21
Todd Fuller	16	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	-2	10	15.6	18.4	-2.80	14.2	15.7	-1.46
Bruce Bowen	55	56	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	7	-8	16.9	19.6	-2.69	15.5	15.3	0.21
A.C. Green	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.06	1	5	-4	18.0	17.8	0.20	13.6	16.0	-2.40
Duane Causwell	32	33	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.05	-15	21	-36	20.3	16.4	3.93	17.9	13.9	3.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.53,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.92,1	92.8%
MIN 102, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	92.3%
MIL 108, NOP 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.58,0.38,0.25,0.36,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.93,1	92.2%