NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	7.3 [363]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): +13.1%
Washington Wizards	102		Comeback	5.8 [58]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -23.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	12	62%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	20	69%	0.17	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	-0.04	0.11	-0.03	15	44%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Evan Turner	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.03	18	57%	0.20	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	5	27%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Daniel Orton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	10	43%	0.10	4	-0.13	3	67%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	9	65%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.07	0.08	-0.05	10	50%	0.12	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	-0.06	0.04	19	59%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	15	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.20	-0.05	-0.02	18	27%	-0.11	5	-0.12	1	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	31.2	15.4	22.0	2.5	30.3	126.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +45.3%

WAS -1.9%

PHI +14.1%

WAS -8.9%

PHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	13.9	14.0	15.1	104.8	99.0	105.2
season	13.7	15.1		98.4	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.0		102.7	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	13.3	12.3	15.4	13.9
WAS	13.0	14.4	15.0	13.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	73	72	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.39	11	-4	15	13.4	15.1	-1.69	13.8	14.2	-0.35
James Anderson	75	75	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-2	11	13.5	14.7	-1.18	13.8	14.4	-0.66
Michael Carter-Williams	72	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-1	9	13.3	15.2	-1.85	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Thaddeus Young	70	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	5	-3	13.9	13.9	-0.01	13.2	15.6	-2.42
Tony Wroten	40	39	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	2	3	14.4	13.5	0.93	14.7	13.5	1.19
Evan Turner	75	76	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	6	-5	13.6	14.6	-0.99	13.8	14.4	-0.62
Darius Morris	27	24	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	5	-3	15.1	13.4	1.72	15.4	13.5	1.91
Lavoy Allen	41	40	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.14	6	1	5	14.1	13.7	0.37	14.8	13.4	1.43
Daniel Orton	24	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	12	-17	15.0	13.5	1.52	15.1	13.6	1.45
Hollis Thompson	23	21	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	11	-15	15.1	13.5	1.61	14.0	13.9	0.06

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	22	23	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.06	5	-12	17	15.9	13.4	2.43	15.2	13.5	1.67
Garrett Temple	2	2	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-9	11	13.0	14.0	-0.97	14.0	13.9	0.13
Al Harrington	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-2	-3	14.6	13.6	0.98	14.9	13.4	1.51
Eric Maynor	29	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-2	-3	14.8	13.6	1.22	14.9	13.4	1.49
Trevor Ariza	85	85	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-8	9	13.4	16.4	-3.02	14.4	11.3	3.13
Bradley Beal	79	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-5	3	13.6	15.2	-1.64	13.3	15.7	-2.38
Trevor Booker	63	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	13.9	14.0	-0.04	13.3	14.8	-1.53
John Wall	74	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-5	3	13.6	14.8	-1.22	13.4	14.9	-1.49
Martell Webster	48	51	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.19	-13	6	-19	15.1	12.9	2.20	13.9	13.9	0.01
Marcin Gortat	81	81	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	5	-17	13.4	15.9	-2.43	13.5	15.2	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.29,0.27,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.15,0.22,0.04,0	91.1%
NJN 95, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.01,0.09,0	91.0%
POR 94, NJN 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.15,0.12,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.0%