NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	7.1 [413]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (NJN): +30.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Comeback	5.1 [137]		LVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): -27.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.13	0.00	12	87%	0.33	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	12	46%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.01	9	60%	0.14	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	23	52%	0.04	2	-0.07	14	71%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	5	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	10	25%	-0.16	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.08

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.07	-0.03	12	52%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.06
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	5	85%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.15	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.04
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28	-0.28	-0.13	-0.14	0.01	10	23%	-0.16	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	31.2	15.7	25.4	2.5	37.8	141.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +25.5%

CLE -13.6%

NJN +29.5%

NJN +8.1%

NJN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	16.9	14.7	15.5	104.4	95.6	105.7
season	16.4	15.1		101.6	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.3		110.2	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	19.0	16.9	17.0	14.8	16.9
CLE	11.5	15.8	16.5	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	81	80	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.25	15	-7	22	16.7	18.4	-1.66	14.5	16.6	-2.17
Jordan Farmar	55	56	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-2	12	15.7	18.7	-2.98	14.5	15.0	-0.49
Kris Humphries	76	75	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-1	10	16.8	17.4	-0.57	15.1	13.1	1.94
Devin Harris	80	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	3	2	17.2	14.5	2.70	15.2	11.5	3.62
Brook Lopez	32	34	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	8	-8	17.0	16.9	0.12	16.3	13.8	2.55
Derrick Favors	45	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	-3	14	15.4	18.4	-2.93	16.1	13.5	2.59
Johan Petro	9	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	6	-4	20.7	16.5	4.15	11.9	15.1	-3.17
Damion James	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	8	-8	7.0	17.0	-10.03	23.0	14.6	8.37
Travis Outlaw	59	59	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	9	-10	17.2	16.4	0.80	14.4	15.3	-0.91
Joe Smith	8	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	12	-16	22.4	16.4	5.98	9.1	15.3	-6.23
Quinton Ross	9	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	15	-22	21.4	16.4	5.02	8.9	15.4	-6.48

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	49	51	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-12	16	15.2	14.2	0.99	17.9	15.6	2.27
Ryan Hollins	27	25	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-11	14	13.6	15.2	-1.56	16.1	17.2	-1.16
Mo Williams	37	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-4	0	16.1	13.8	2.28	18.3	15.8	2.46
Jawad Williams	24	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-5	2	14.0	15.0	-1.04	18.3	16.5	1.78
Antawn Jamison	47	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-4	0	13.5	16.0	-2.56	16.5	17.4	-0.86
JJ Hickson	44	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-4	0	16.0	13.5	2.56	17.4	16.5	0.86
Ramon Sessions	54	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.38	-4	-4	0	13.8	16.1	-2.28	15.8	18.3	-2.46
Anthony Parker	50	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	-1	-6	14.9	14.6	0.30	16.4	17.7	-1.31
Daniel Gibson	59	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.27	-10	2	-12	14.5	15.1	-0.52	16.0	18.4	-2.40
Anderson Varejao	64	66	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.28	-11	3	-14	15.2	13.6	1.56	17.2	16.1	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.01,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, DEN 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.74,0.65,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.16,0.02,0,0	93.4%
DET 104, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.02,0,0	92.7%
WAS 77, NOH 70	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.08,0	92.7%