inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 104 Excitement6.7 [476] MVPTerry Mills (DET): +30.7%
Portland Trail Blazers 95 Comeback6.6 [41] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -24.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Mills0.310,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.310.150.15-0.00989%0.3100.0000%0.00
Grant Hill0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.060.150.021862%0.252-0.05367%-0.01
Jerome Williams0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.00475%0.111-0.05475%-0.03
Christian Laettner0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01757%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00450%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Eric Montross0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jud Buechler-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Curry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01547%-0.011-0.04560%0.01
John Crotty-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.00267%-0.003-0.07250%-0.01
Lindsey Hunter-0.090,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.00-0.080.01753%-0.031-0.061100%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.250,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25-0.15-0.090.011849%-0.076-0.181182%0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.20.200.140.04-0.021374%0.2000.001100%0.00
Arvydas Sabonis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.00783%0.132-0.054100%0.02
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.040.011250%0.0410.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.01638%0.0100.001100%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.040.041556%-0.041-0.02633%-0.09
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.00-0.02922%-0.043-0.0800%0.00
Detlef Schrempf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.110.00737%-0.1400.002100%0.01
Greg Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.08-0.09-0.00430%-0.102-0.07250%-0.04
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.11-0.14-0.00838%-0.163-0.09580%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.232.615.830.22.428.5135.6
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +62.3%
POR -3.0%
POR -6.5%
POR -5.1%
DET +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETPORNBADETPORNBA
this game14.416.215.2110.6101.1101.7
season14.115.9104.2105.9
opponent15.715.399.1103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.614.112.816.414.4
POR17.514.215.318.816.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindsey Hunter61600.76-0.261.020.2318-92713.915.3-1.3816.715.31.43
Grant Hill64640.63-0.130.770.2513-41714.214.9-0.7316.615.51.03
Jerry Stackhouse75750.51-0.010.530.1313-41714.115.6-1.5416.415.41.02
Terry Mills51510.490.010.470.1312-31514.514.30.2715.716.8-1.11
Jerome Williams58570.480.020.470.3454114.813.81.0215.317.7-2.38
Christian Laettner48480.080.42-0.35-0.1372513.215.7-2.4417.914.53.35
Mikki Moore21220.040.46-0.410.0409-915.414.11.3217.415.91.53
Jud Buechler16150.010.49-0.480.13-413-1715.814.11.7014.616.5-1.94
Eric Montross1010-0.090.59-0.680.09-615-2115.114.30.7813.716.5-2.84
Michael Curry3334-0.160.66-0.81-0.04-413-1714.914.10.7315.916.4-0.55
John Crotty3334-0.260.76-1.020.00-918-2715.313.91.3815.316.7-1.43

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Arvydas Sabonis46450.20-0.700.890.055-141916.216.3-0.1613.415.3-1.93
Damon Stoudamire60590.14-0.640.770.024-131715.517.5-1.9813.715.5-1.81
Stacey Augmon23220.04-0.540.580.040-9913.917.0-3.0712.415.0-2.60
Bonzi Wells4644-0.11-0.390.29-0.141-101116.715.80.8214.814.10.69
Jermaine O'Neal2123-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-3-317.815.82.0315.114.20.90
Steven Smith7677-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.20-5-4-115.320.3-5.0014.115.8-1.66
Rasheed Wallace8179-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.21-90-915.819.2-3.3914.016.7-2.69
Detlef Schrempf4041-0.530.03-0.57-0.30-8-1-716.416.10.3816.013.22.74
Scottie Pippen4345-0.590.09-0.68-0.18-145-1918.714.14.5815.513.42.17
Greg Anthony3435-0.640.14-0.77-0.26-134-1717.515.51.9815.513.71.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 112, LAL 1110.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.03,0.04,093.1%
NJN 95, CLE 870.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.01,0.09,092.7%
CLE 106, NYK 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.09,0.04,092.4%