NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	6.4 [544]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (CLE): +32.6%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	7.4 [41]		LVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): -7.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.33	0.14	0.18	-0.01	19	72%	0.43	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	81%	0.20	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.02	17	61%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	6	79%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	15	56%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	48%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.11	-0.12	0.00	20	62%	0.13	3	-0.15	12	100%	0.11
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	3.3	29.3	16.8	28.0	2.8	37.6	140.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +92.6%

NYK -22.2%

NYK -13.2%

NYK -8.8%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	17.7	15.1	119.1	112.4	105.2
season	15.2	16.0		102.8	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.3		107.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	14.6	14.2	14.2	14.7
NYK	15.7	19.0	18.5	17.7	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	60	61	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.25	15	-9	24	14.4	15.1	-0.65	18.0	16.9	1.12
Dion Waiters	75	77	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.15	17	-11	28	14.2	17.3	-3.11	17.8	16.7	1.09
Anderson Varejao	38	38	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.46	6	0	6	13.7	15.4	-1.62	17.7	17.7	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	77	77	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	-2	10	15.0	12.7	2.31	17.7	17.7	-0.06
Matthew Dellavedova	50	50	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.43	-4	10	-14	14.7	14.6	0.04	17.6	17.8	-0.27
Spencer Hawes	42	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.12	7	-1	8	15.1	14.3	0.77	17.8	17.6	0.16
Tyler Zeller	24	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	12	-18	14.5	14.7	-0.17	16.7	18.0	-1.29
Tristan Thompson	50	50	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	10	-14	15.3	13.8	1.50	18.0	17.3	0.65
Alonzo Gee	29	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	15	-24	15.1	14.4	0.65	16.9	18.0	-1.12

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pablo Prigioni	29	29	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-14	22	17.9	17.6	0.30	15.0	14.5	0.50
Cole Aldrich	12	12	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-11	16	17.7	17.7	0.06	12.7	15.0	-2.31
Amar'e Stoudemire	56	56	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-10	14	17.5	18.0	-0.53	14.7	14.6	0.04
Shannon Brown	26	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-6	6	18.9	17.2	1.73	15.5	14.3	1.27
Tim Hardaway Jr.	51	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-4	2	17.8	17.5	0.30	14.1	15.3	-1.16
J.R. Smith	71	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	17.4	19.0	-1.63	14.7	14.7	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	75	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	3	-12	17.3	19.9	-2.56	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Raymond Felton	60	60	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	8	-22	17.6	17.9	-0.30	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Tyson Chandler	65	65	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.31	-17	11	-28	18.1	16.6	1.47	15.1	13.5	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.69,0.74,0.65,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.79,0.63,0.69,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.04,0	92.5%
DET 104, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.02,0,0	92.4%
POR 92, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	92.1%