NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	7.0 [421]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (ATL): +9.1%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	7.0 [74]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -43.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	-0.05	0.12	-0.02	20	53%	0.18	4	-0.09	7	71%	0.07
LaPhonso Ellis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	14	58%	0.13	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	19	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	9	50%	-0.09	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	14	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.10	-0.02	19	61%	0.01	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.06
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	6	17%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.4,-0.4,-0.43	-0.43	-0.22	-0.24	-0.03	16	41%	-0.18	8	-0.25	5	60%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.8	27.1	15.4	24.9	1.7	30.4	122.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.9%

ATL +16.2%

NJN -9.2%

ATL +15.1%

NJN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.7	16.4	15.2	104.3	96.7	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		99.3	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.2		103.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	15.8	14.3	13.6	14.7
NJN	14.2	16.2	18.5	17.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	37	36	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-6	20	13.8	15.3	-1.56	16.4	16.5	-0.05
Jim Jackson	84	82	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-5	18	14.5	17.0	-2.55	16.3	17.3	-0.96
Dikembe Mutombo	81	80	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-2	12	14.7	15.0	-0.35	16.6	15.2	1.38
Isaiah Rider	83	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	1	6	14.7	15.0	-0.34	16.4	16.7	-0.24
LaPhonso Ellis	30	30	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	1	6	15.7	14.2	1.53	17.8	15.8	2.06
Lorenzen Wright	5	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	5	-2	14.4	14.7	-0.32	18.7	16.3	2.38
Alan Henderson	76	75	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	11	-14	14.4	15.9	-1.45	15.7	19.7	-4.00
Bimbo Coles	43	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	9	-10	15.1	14.4	0.73	16.5	16.4	0.19
Chris Crawford	13	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	13	-18	16.1	14.5	1.60	16.2	16.5	-0.32
Jason Terry	13	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	13	-18	16.1	14.5	1.60	16.2	16.5	-0.32

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	36	35	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.10	3	-11	14	16.7	16.3	0.41	14.2	15.0	-0.75
Johnny Newman	9	10	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-10	12	16.8	16.4	0.37	17.9	14.3	3.59
Jim McIlvaine	14	15	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-10	12	17.6	16.2	1.33	15.8	14.5	1.31
Elliot Perry	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-7	6	17.5	16.3	1.27	17.7	14.2	3.48
Kerry Kittles	47	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-4	0	16.5	16.4	0.05	16.0	13.3	2.66
Kendall Gill	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	16.1	18.4	-2.34	14.2	17.1	-2.90
Jamie Feick	73	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	-1	-6	16.2	17.5	-1.30	14.5	15.4	-0.96
Stephon Marbury	77	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	-1	-6	16.4	16.5	-0.10	14.3	16.8	-2.55
Keith Van Horn	70	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.24	-10	2	-12	16.5	16.4	0.11	14.4	15.6	-1.17
Scott Burrell	43	44	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.28	-11	3	-14	16.5	16.4	0.17	14.1	15.3	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.69,0.74,0.65,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.79,0.63,0.69,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 106, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.09,0.04,0	92.5%
SAC 100, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.31,0.22,0.07,0,0	92.3%
ATL 102, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.02,0	92.3%