inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 77 Excitement7.5 [330] MVPBradley Beal (WAS): +8.2%
New Orleans Hornets 70 Comeback5.1 [124] LVPGreivis Vasquez (NOH): -30.4%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bradley Beal0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.001258%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Jordan Crawford0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0.05-0.000.05-0.012446%0.132-0.08875%0.02
Emeka Okafor0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.030.01475%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Nene0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.07-0.00850%0.103-0.084100%0.02
Kevin Seraphin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00750%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Jan Vesely-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.0010%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Cartier Martin-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.001030%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Martell Webster-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00418%-0.042-0.07367%-0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.06-0.01517%-0.1100.002100%0.01
Chris Singleton-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.03-0.02714%-0.082-0.0500%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.01855%0.0300.00425%-0.04
Anthony Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.001057%0.102-0.083100%0.02
Lance Thomas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02445%0.042-0.05367%-0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00442%0.022-0.07475%-0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00637%-0.051-0.02450%-0.02
Darius Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0020%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00833%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Robin Lopez0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.01333%-0.004-0.0900%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15-0.15-0.04-0.14-0.032140%-0.1510.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3-0.30-0.15-0.16-0.011417%-0.3000.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.20.231.215.325.51.635.3135.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +35.4%
WAS +11.9%
WAS +8.1%
NOH -7.0%
WAS +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASNOHNBAWASNOHNBA
this game15.715.315.482.875.3104.1
season15.116.398.8103.9
opponent15.615.7108.1101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.214.815.117.815.7
NOH15.515.216.214.115.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cartier Martin62610.86-0.361.220.2820-133315.316.5-1.1114.217.2-2.94
Jordan Crawford78790.73-0.230.950.3513-61916.213.13.1515.514.11.40
Chris Singleton60580.330.170.160.36-18-916.414.51.9515.015.6-0.59
Bradley Beal75750.330.170.160.2725-315.317.2-1.8815.215.3-0.09
Nene44430.320.180.140.059-21114.316.9-2.6013.416.8-3.38
Emeka Okafor42430.190.31-0.120.25-29-1117.114.62.4817.313.53.72
Kevin Seraphin32340.110.39-0.28-0.0143115.715.70.0614.915.4-0.50
Shaun Livingston3332-0.050.55-0.61-0.03-18-915.315.9-0.5814.815.5-0.73
Jan Vesely56-0.090.59-0.68-0.03-29-1114.415.8-1.3818.515.03.47
Martell Webster3434-0.220.72-0.94-0.02-714-2115.415.9-0.4717.014.32.70

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darius Miller26270.01-0.510.520.010-7715.415.20.1812.617.0-4.39
Roger Mason Jr.3434-0.07-0.430.37-0.101-8913.816.1-2.2615.116.1-0.93
Robin Lopez4344-0.12-0.380.26-0.182-91116.714.02.7215.515.9-0.31
Brian Roberts3638-0.12-0.380.250.02-5-2-314.016.1-2.0514.916.3-1.38
Jason Smith2323-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-3-4114.115.6-1.5615.615.8-0.19
Al-Farouq Aminu5049-0.15-0.350.21-0.150-7715.714.71.0417.114.13.03
Lance Thomas1412-0.25-0.250.01-0.01-81-915.015.3-0.3017.615.42.15
Anthony Davis4847-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.12-70-714.416.2-1.8715.815.60.20
Greivis Vasquez5755-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.32-2-5316.114.02.0516.314.91.38
Ryan Anderson7071-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.31-4-3-115.614.11.5616.014.81.17
Austin Rivers6465-0.550.05-0.61-0.29-92-1115.315.10.2715.715.8-0.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 95, CLE 870.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.01,0.09,092.7%
DET 84, CLE 740.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,091.9%
PHX 104, MIL 960.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.05,0,091.9%