inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 84 Excitement6.9 [396] MVPWalter Herrmann (DET): +14.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers 74 Comeback3.2 [615] LVPDamon Jones (CLE): -34.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Walter Herrmann0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.080.02869%0.1400.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.020.07-0.001052%0.121-0.03560%-0.03
Arron Afflalo0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.011256%0.132-0.083100%0.02
Rodney Stuckey0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.040.06-0.011240%0.061-0.036100%0.04
Amir Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.020.020.010.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Juan Dixon0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02862%0.113-0.0900%0.00
Chauncey Billups0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.011100%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Antonio McDyess-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00337%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Rasheed Wallace-0.030,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jarvis Hayes-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.011030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.00-0.01812%-0.081-0.0200%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.040.01765%0.1000.003100%0.02
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.00656%0.0400.00475%0.00
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.03940%0.0200.002100%0.01
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.011847%0.041-0.032100%0.03
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.05-0.00640%0.051-0.04875%0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01633%-0.0000.00333%-0.04
Billy Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00633%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Lance Allred0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.040.02337%-0.0700.00250%-0.02
Dwayne Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.04-0.02429%-0.032-0.08633%-0.07
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.32,-0.34,-0.34-0.34-0.20-0.140.011215%-0.273-0.082100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.530.214.827.22.327.6129.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +60.7%
CLE -3.4%
CLE -7.2%
DET +0.8%
CLE -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCLENBADETCLENBA
this game16.218.015.4100.088.1105.7
season16.816.4108.8104.0
opponent15.215.8104.1101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.117.715.516.616.2
CLE18.315.817.221.318.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodney Stuckey50510.66-0.160.820.2215-52017.115.02.0318.717.01.73
Juan Dixon39390.64-0.140.780.2015-52015.516.9-1.4018.118.00.01
Walter Herrmann33340.62-0.120.730.2114-41815.416.8-1.3918.417.80.51
Jason Maxiell55540.59-0.100.690.2113-31616.715.41.2617.618.8-1.12
Jarvis Hayes49470.420.080.330.0612-21417.015.11.8818.417.60.86
Arron Afflalo51490.280.220.06-0.0712-21416.615.70.9416.720.0-3.30
Amir Johnson38360.120.38-0.27-0.1591817.615.22.4018.118.00.06
Rasheed Wallace2122-0.160.66-0.830.07-818-2615.116.6-1.4618.318.00.30
Chauncey Billups2122-0.160.66-0.830.07-818-2615.116.6-1.4618.318.00.30
Antonio McDyess2122-0.160.66-0.830.07-818-2615.116.6-1.4618.318.00.30
Richard Hamilton2122-0.160.66-0.830.07-818-2615.116.6-1.4618.318.00.30
Tayshaun Prince2122-0.160.66-0.830.07-818-2615.116.6-1.4618.318.00.30

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anderson Varejao34340.25-0.751.00-0.0711-213218.817.51.2516.216.3-0.10
Delonte West36370.25-0.751.00-0.0711-213218.217.90.2616.516.00.44
Ben Wallace38380.19-0.690.880.045-152018.917.31.5515.217.1-1.83
Daniel Gibson3938-0.02-0.480.450.12-5-5017.818.3-0.4716.516.00.53
Joe Smith3635-0.02-0.480.450.00-1-9816.219.4-3.1917.415.41.99
Devin Brown2927-0.11-0.390.280.04-5-5015.419.5-4.0816.516.10.41
Damon Jones6263-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.18-9-1-818.816.02.8416.415.70.70
Wally Szczerbiak7575-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.22-9-1-818.415.33.0415.621.2-5.58
Lance Allred1516-0.620.12-0.74-0.24-133-1620.617.53.1116.516.20.32
Billy Thomas1112-0.690.19-0.88-0.31-133-1619.117.91.2016.716.20.60
Dwayne Jones4545-0.800.30-1.09-0.15-2212-3417.418.8-1.4416.116.4-0.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 75, CLE 650.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.03,0.1,0.02,093.3%
MIA 95, NYK 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.46,0.25,0.08,0.11,0.01,093.2%
POR 96, DAL 880.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.01,092.6%