NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	84		Excitement	6.9 [396]		MVP	Walter Herrmann (DET): +14.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	74		Comeback	3.2 [615]		LVP	Damon Jones (CLE): -34.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter Herrmann	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	8	69%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	10	52%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	56%	0.13	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	12	40%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	65%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	18	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	40%	0.05	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Allred	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	3	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	4	29%	-0.03	2	-0.08	6	33%	-0.07
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.32,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.20	-0.14	0.01	12	15%	-0.27	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	30.2	14.8	27.2	2.3	27.6	129.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +60.7%

CLE -3.4%

CLE -7.2%

DET +0.8%

CLE -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	16.2	18.0	15.4	100.0	88.1	105.7
season	16.8	16.4		108.8	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.8		104.1	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.1	17.7	15.5	16.6	16.2
CLE	18.3	15.8	17.2	21.3	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	50	51	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-5	20	17.1	15.0	2.03	18.7	17.0	1.73
Juan Dixon	39	39	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-5	20	15.5	16.9	-1.40	18.1	18.0	0.01
Walter Herrmann	33	34	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.21	14	-4	18	15.4	16.8	-1.39	18.4	17.8	0.51
Jason Maxiell	55	54	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.21	13	-3	16	16.7	15.4	1.26	17.6	18.8	-1.12
Jarvis Hayes	49	47	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	-2	14	17.0	15.1	1.88	18.4	17.6	0.86
Arron Afflalo	51	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	-2	14	16.6	15.7	0.94	16.7	20.0	-3.30
Amir Johnson	38	36	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.15	9	1	8	17.6	15.2	2.40	18.1	18.0	0.06
Rasheed Wallace	21	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	18	-26	15.1	16.6	-1.46	18.3	18.0	0.30
Chauncey Billups	21	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	18	-26	15.1	16.6	-1.46	18.3	18.0	0.30
Antonio McDyess	21	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	18	-26	15.1	16.6	-1.46	18.3	18.0	0.30
Richard Hamilton	21	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	18	-26	15.1	16.6	-1.46	18.3	18.0	0.30
Tayshaun Prince	21	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	18	-26	15.1	16.6	-1.46	18.3	18.0	0.30

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	34	34	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.07	11	-21	32	18.8	17.5	1.25	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Delonte West	36	37	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.07	11	-21	32	18.2	17.9	0.26	16.5	16.0	0.44
Ben Wallace	38	38	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-15	20	18.9	17.3	1.55	15.2	17.1	-1.83
Daniel Gibson	39	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.12	-5	-5	0	17.8	18.3	-0.47	16.5	16.0	0.53
Joe Smith	36	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.00	-1	-9	8	16.2	19.4	-3.19	17.4	15.4	1.99
Devin Brown	29	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-5	0	15.4	19.5	-4.08	16.5	16.1	0.41
Damon Jones	62	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	18.8	16.0	2.84	16.4	15.7	0.70
Wally Szczerbiak	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	18.4	15.3	3.04	15.6	21.2	-5.58
Lance Allred	15	16	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.24	-13	3	-16	20.6	17.5	3.11	16.5	16.2	0.32
Billy Thomas	11	12	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	3	-16	19.1	17.9	1.20	16.7	16.2	0.60
Dwayne Jones	45	45	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.15	-22	12	-34	17.4	18.8	-1.44	16.1	16.4	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 75, CLE 65	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.03,0.1,0.02,0	93.3%
MIA 95, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.46,0.25,0.08,0.11,0.01,0	93.2%
POR 96, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.01,0	92.6%